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Trade and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons from French Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Mariya Brussevich
  • Mr. Chris Papageorgiou
  • Pauline Wibaux

Abstract

This paper uses granular customs data from France to investigate propagation of the COVID-19 shock along the supply chains in 2020. It quantifies the effect of the COVID-19 shock on trade adjustment and identifies mitigating and amplifying factors contributing to French firms’ heterogeneous adjustment paths. Early in the pandemic, firms mainly responded to global lockdowns and spread of the virus by reducing trade volumes (intensive margin) as opposed to exiting from import and export markets (ex-tensive margin). However, adjustment along the extensive margin played a more important role in trade with developing countries. It is shown that the impact of lockdowns was stronger for final consumer goods and the trade recovery was predominantly demand-driven. More automated, inventory-intensive, older, and medium-sized firms were more insulated from the shock, whereas firms’ reliance on air transportation for shipping goods amplified the shock. Trade bans and promotion measures implemented by governments in response to the pandemic had little impact on aggregate trade flows.

Suggested Citation

  • Mariya Brussevich & Mr. Chris Papageorgiou & Pauline Wibaux, 2022. "Trade and the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons from French Firms," IMF Working Papers 2022/081, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2022/081
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lalinsky, Tibor & Anyfantaki, Sofia & Benkovskis, Konstantins & Bergeaud, Antonin & Bun, Maurice & Bunel, Simon & Colciago, Andrea & De Mulder, Jan & Lopez, Beatriz Gonzalez & Jarvis, Valerie & Krasno, 2024. "The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and policy support on productivity," Occasional Paper Series 341, European Central Bank.
    2. Jennifer Peña & Elvira Prades, 2023. "International Sourcing during COVID-19: How did Chilean firms fare?," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 998, Central Bank of Chile.
    3. Gianmarco Cariola, 2023. "Trade in the time of COVID-19: an empirical analysis based on Italian data," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1427, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.

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