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Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts

Author

Listed:
  • Ms. Sally Chen
  • Minsuk Kim
  • Marijn Otte
  • Kevin Wiseman
  • Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka

Abstract

Balance sheet recessions have been a drag on activity after the Global Financial Crisis, underscoring the important role of balance sheet adjustment for resuming sustained growth. In this paper we examine private sector deleveraging experiences across 36 advanced and emerging economies countries since 1960. We consider the common features and divergent experiences of deleveraging episodes across countries, and analyze empirically the impact of different aspects of deleveraging during the bust phase of leverage cycles on subsequent medium-term growth. The results suggest that larger and quicker unwinding of non-financial sector debt overhangs is associated with sizable medium-term output gains, and that policies should focus on facilitating up-front balance sheet adjustment.

Suggested Citation

  • Ms. Sally Chen & Minsuk Kim & Marijn Otte & Kevin Wiseman & Ms. Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2015. "Private Sector Deleveraging and Growth Following Busts," IMF Working Papers 2015/035, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2015/035
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Arun Jaitley, 2018. "Economic Survey 2017: Volume I, Chapter 3: Investment and Saving Slowdowns and Recoveries: Cross-Country Insights for India," Working Papers id:12442, eSocialSciences.
    3. Sebastian Ion Ceptureanu, 2015. "Young Smes Insolvency.Theoretical Considerations And Policy Actions," Risk in Contemporary Economy, "Dunarea de Jos" University of Galati, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, pages 120-126.
    4. Georgios Magkonis & Anastasia Theofilakou, 2019. "Transmission of sectoral debt shocks in OECD countries: Evidence from the income channel," Working Papers in Economics & Finance 2019-02, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth Business School, Economics and Finance Subject Group.
    5. Masuch, Klaus & Anderton, Robert & Setzer, Ralph & Benalal, Nicholai, 2018. "Structural policies in the euro area," Occasional Paper Series 210, European Central Bank.
    6. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Luis A. Gil-Alana & María Malmierca, 2022. "Credit-to-GDP ratios – non-linear trends and persistence: evidence from 44 OECD economies," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 50(3), pages 448-463, March.
    7. Consolo, Agostino & Malfa, Federica & Pierluigi, Beatrice, 2018. "Insolvency frameworks and private debt: an empirical investigation," Working Paper Series 2189, European Central Bank.
    8. Storz, Manuela & Koetter, Michael & Setzer, Ralph & Westphal, Andreas, 2017. "Do we want these two to tango? On zombie firms and stressed banks in Europe," Working Paper Series 2104, European Central Bank.
    9. Pierluigi, Beatrice & Sondermann, David, 2018. "Macroeconomic imbalances in the euro area: where do we stand?," Occasional Paper Series 211, European Central Bank.
    10. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Alberiko Gil-Alana & Maria Malmierca, 2021. "Persistence in the private debt-t -GDP ratio: evidence from 43 OECD countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(43), pages 5018-5027, September.
    11. Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońcaz, 2017. "Are Major Central Banks Blinded By The Analytical Elegance Of Their Models? Possible Costs Of Unconventional Monetary Policy Measures," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 62(01), pages 87-108, March.
    12. Romanos Priftis & Anastasia Theofilakou, 2021. "Growth effects of corporate balance sheet adjustments in the EU," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(2), pages 773-801, February.

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