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Romania: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Systemic Risk Analysis and Stress Testing the Financial Sector

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  • International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This Technical Note discusses the results of systemic risk analysis and stress testing of Romania’s financial sector. Although the Romanian banking sector has a strong initial capital position, banks are affected significantly by the realization of the shocks captured by the scenarios. The stress test results indicate that an extreme but plausible adverse scenario would have a significant negative impact on the capital ratios of the banking system. Although the banking sector as a whole maintains capital ratios above the minimum regulatory requirements, several (smaller) banks prove vulnerable. The extreme adverse scenario reflects downside external risks as well as a domestic demand shock impacting private consumption and investment.

Suggested Citation

  • International Monetary Fund, 2018. "Romania: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Systemic Risk Analysis and Stress Testing the Financial Sector," IMF Staff Country Reports 2018/163, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfscr:2018/163
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    Cited by:

    1. Covi, Giovanni & Gorpe, Mehmet Ziya & Kok, Christoffer, 2021. "CoMap: Mapping Contagion in the Euro Area Banking Sector," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 53(C).
    2. Bertay, Ata & Huizinga, Harry, 2019. "What are the Main Factors for the Subdued Profitability of Significant Banks in the Banking Union, and is the ECB’s Supervisory Response Conclusive and Exhaustive?," Other publications TiSEM 258c7cd4-90b3-4bb7-ba1b-4, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    3. Ayrton Psaila & Jonathan Spiteri & Simon Grima, 2019. "The Impact of Non-Performing Loans on the Profitability of Listed Euro-Mediterranean Commercial Banks," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(4), pages 166-196.

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