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The Looming Japanese Crisis

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  • Adam S. Posen

    ()
    (Peterson Institute for International Economics)

Abstract

After more than a decade of economic stagnation and minimal structural change, Japan stands on the brink of outright financial crisis--the only debate is whether the Japanese government can dodge its imminent economic threats for another six months at most, or ride the wave of global expansion to throw still more money at these problems with decreasing effectiveness until the public debt becomes unsustainable (which should be no later than 2005). Either way, volatility in Japanese asset markets will be extremely high for the next 36 months, with significant declines on average in asset prices and the yen.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Peterson Institute for International Economics in its series Policy Briefs with number PB02-05.

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Date of creation: May 2002
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Handle: RePEc:iie:pbrief:pb02-05

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Cited by:
  1. Joerg Bibow, 2004. "Fiscal Consolidation Contrasting Strategies & Lessons from International Experience," Macroeconomics, EconWPA 0402014, EconWPA.
  2. Kenneth N. Kuttner & Adam S. Posen, 2003. "The Difficulty of Discerning What's Too Tight: Taylor Rules and Japanese Monetary Policy," Working Paper Series, Peterson Institute for International Economics WP03-10, Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  3. Pierre Fortin, 2003. "Issues and Commentaries Issues et commentaires Keynes Resurrected," Canadian Public Policy, University of Toronto Press, vol. 29(2), pages 253-265, June.

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