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Cross-fitting and fast remainder rates for semiparametric estimation

Author

Listed:
  • Whitney K. Newey

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies and MIT)

  • James M. Robins

    (Institute for Fiscal Studies)

Abstract

There are many interesting and widely used estimators of a functional with ?nite semi-parametric variance bound that depend on nonparametric estimators of nuisance func-tions. We use cross-?tting to construct such estimators with fast remainder rates. We give cross-?t doubly robust estimators that use separate subsamples to estimate di?erent nuisance functions. We show that a cross-?t doubly robust spline regression estimator of the expected conditional covariance is semiparametric e?cient under minimal conditions. Corresponding estimators of other average linear functionals of a conditional expectation are shown to have the fastest known remainder rates under certain smoothness conditions. The cross-?t plug-in estimator shares some of these properties but has a remainder term that is larger than the cross-?t doubly robust estimator. As speci?c examples we consider the expected conditional covariance, mean with randomly missing data, and a weighted average derivative.

Suggested Citation

  • Whitney K. Newey & James M. Robins, 2017. "Cross-fitting and fast remainder rates for semiparametric estimation," CeMMAP working papers CWP41/17, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:ifs:cemmap:41/17
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    2. Robinson, Peter M, 1988. "Root- N-Consistent Semiparametric Regression," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 56(4), pages 931-954, July.
    3. Blomquist, Soren & Dahlberg, Matz, 1999. "Small Sample Properties of LIML and Jackknife IV Estimators: Experiments with Weak Instruments," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 69-88, Jan.-Feb..
    4. Whitney K. Newey & Fushing Hsieh & James M. Robins, 2004. "Twicing Kernels and a Small Bias Property of Semiparametric Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 947-962, May.
    5. Jerry A. Hausman & Whitney K. Newey, 2016. "Individual Heterogeneity and Average Welfare," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 84, pages 1225-1248, May.
    6. Victor Chernozhukov & Juan Carlos Escanciano & Hidehiko Ichimura & Whitney K. Newey & James M. Robins, 2022. "Locally Robust Semiparametric Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1501-1535, July.
    7. Cattaneo, Matias D. & Farrell, Max H., 2013. "Optimal convergence rates, Bahadur representation, and asymptotic normality of partitioning estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 174(2), pages 127-143.
    8. Angrist, J D & Imbens, G W & Krueger, A B, 1999. "Jackknife Instrumental Variables Estimation," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 14(1), pages 57-67, Jan.-Feb..
    9. Hidehiko Ichimura & Whitney K. Newey, 2015. "The influence function of semiparametric estimators," CeMMAP working papers CWP44/15, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    10. Newey, Whitney K, 1994. "The Asymptotic Variance of Semiparametric Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 62(6), pages 1349-1382, November.
    11. Newey, Whitney K., 1997. "Convergence rates and asymptotic normality for series estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 79(1), pages 147-168, July.
    12. Belloni, Alexandre & Chernozhukov, Victor & Chetverikov, Denis & Kato, Kengo, 2015. "Some new asymptotic theory for least squares series: Pointwise and uniform results," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 186(2), pages 345-366.
    13. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey, 2017. "Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effects," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(5), pages 261-265, May.
    14. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2016. "Double/Debiased Machine Learning for Treatment and Causal Parameters," Papers 1608.00060, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2017.
    15. Donald, S. G. & Newey, W. K., 1994. "Series Estimation of Semilinear Models," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(1), pages 30-40, July.
    16. Whitney Newey & Fushing Hsieh & James Robins, 1998. "Undersmoothing and Bias Corrected Functional Estimation," Working papers 98-17, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
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    Cited by:

    1. Jacob Dorn & Kevin Guo, 2021. "Sharp Sensitivity Analysis for Inverse Propensity Weighting via Quantile Balancing," Papers 2102.04543, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2023.
    2. Victor Chernozhukov & Juan Carlos Escanciano & Hidehiko Ichimura & Whitney K. Newey & James M. Robins, 2022. "Locally Robust Semiparametric Estimation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(4), pages 1501-1535, July.
    3. Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney K. Newey & Rahul Singh, 2022. "Automatic Debiased Machine Learning of Causal and Structural Effects," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 90(3), pages 967-1027, May.
    4. Jelena Bradic & Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney K. Newey & Yinchu Zhu, 2019. "Minimax Semiparametric Learning With Approximate Sparsity," Papers 1912.12213, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    5. Victor Chernozhukov & Whitney K. Newey & Victor Quintas-Martinez & Vasilis Syrgkanis, 2021. "Automatic Debiased Machine Learning via Riesz Regression," Papers 2104.14737, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2024.
    6. Max H. Farrell & Tengyuan Liang & Sanjog Misra, 2018. "Deep Neural Networks for Estimation and Inference," Papers 1809.09953, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2019.

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