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Measuring Financial Market Interdependence and Assessing Possible Contagion Risk in the EMEAP Region

Author

Listed:
  • Lillian Cheung

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

  • Laurence Fung

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

  • Chi-sang Tam

    (Research Department, Hong Kong Monetary Authority)

Abstract

In this paper, we assess the interdependence between equity markets in the EMEAP region and the US, and across the EMEAP markets using two indicators, namely the dynamic conditional correlation and the spillover index. These indicators show that equity market interdependence has increased steadily since early 2006, and rose sharply following the collapse of the Lehman Brothers in September 2008. We also test for the existence of contagion, and find no significant evidence of contagion between equity markets in the US and the EMEAP region. On the other hand, intra-regional contagion is found to be more significant, suggesting that investors may have treated the regional markets indiscriminately when facing common external shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Lillian Cheung & Laurence Fung & Chi-sang Tam, 2008. "Measuring Financial Market Interdependence and Assessing Possible Contagion Risk in the EMEAP Region," Working Papers 0818, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
  • Handle: RePEc:hkg:wpaper:0818
    as

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    File URL: http://www.info.gov.hk/hkma/eng/research/working/pdf/HKMAWP08_18_full.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:ipg:wpaper:2014-401 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Mitra, Rajarshi, 2017. "Stock market and foreign exchange market integration in South Africa," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 6(C), pages 32-34.
    3. Go Tamakoshi & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2011. "Transmission of stock prices amongst European countries before and during the Greek sovereign debt crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 31(4), pages 3339-3353.
    4. repec:dgr:rugsom:14029-eef is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Matthew S. Yiu & Wai-Yip Alex Ho & Lu Jin, 2010. "Dynamic Correlation Analysis of Financial Spillover to Asian and Latin American Markets in Global Financial Turmoil," Working Papers 1001, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
    6. Go Tamakoshi & Yuki Toyoshima & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2012. "A dynamic conditional correlation analysis of European stock markets from the perspective of the Greek sovereign debt crisis," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(1), pages 437-448.
    7. Peng, Yu-Tung & Au Yong, Hue Hwa & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon, 2014. "Contagion And Flight-To-Quality: Evidences From The Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) Region," Review of Applied Economics, Lincoln University, Department of Financial and Business Systems, vol. 10(1-2), January.
    8. N'Diaye, Papa & Zhang, Ping & Zhang, Wenlang, 2010. "Structural reform, intra-regional trade, and medium-term growth prospects of East Asia and the Pacific--Perspectives from a new multi-region model," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 20-36, February.
    9. Cristiana Tudor, 2011. "Changes in Stock Markets Interdependencies as a Result of the Global Financial Crisis: Empirical Investigation on the CEE Region," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 58(4), pages 525-543, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Contagion; Dynamic conditional correlation; Spillover index;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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