Measuring Financial Market Interdependence and Assessing Possible Contagion Risk in the EMEAP Region
AbstractIn this paper, we assess the interdependence between equity markets in the EMEAP region and the US, and across the EMEAP markets using two indicators, namely the dynamic conditional correlation and the spillover index. These indicators show that equity market interdependence has increased steadily since early 2006, and rose sharply following the collapse of the Lehman Brothers in September 2008. We also test for the existence of contagion, and find no significant evidence of contagion between equity markets in the US and the EMEAP region. On the other hand, intra-regional contagion is found to be more significant, suggesting that investors may have treated the regional markets indiscriminately when facing common external shocks.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Hong Kong Monetary Authority in its series Working Papers with number 0818.
Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2008
Date of revision:
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Contagion; Dynamic conditional correlation; Spillover index;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2009-01-31 (All new papers)
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