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A general framework for testing the Granger noncausality hypothesis

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Author Info
Péguin-Feissolle, Anne () (GREQAM-CNRS)
Teräsvirta, Timo () (Dept. of Economic Statistics, Stockholm School of Economics)

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Abstract

In this paper, new noncausality tests relying on a general nonlinear framework are proposed and their performance studied by a Monte Carlo experiment and a variety of nonlinear artificial series. Two of the tests are based on a Taylor expansion of the nonlinear model around a given point in the sample space. Yet another test is based on artificial neural networks. The tests appear to be well-sized and have good power properties.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Stockholm School of Economics in its series Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance with number 343.

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Length: 22 pages
Date of creation: 09 Nov 1999
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:hhs:hastef:0343

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Related research
Keywords: Hypothesis testing; causality; artificial neural networks; nonlinearity;

Other versions of this item:

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Hypothesis Testing
C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation

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  1. Marie Lebreton & Anne Peguin-feissolle, 2007. "Robust Tests for Heteroscedasticity in a general Framework," Annales d'Economie et de Statistique, ADRES, issue 85, pages 07, Janvier-M. [Downloadable!]
  2. Nevin Yörük & Cumhur Erdem & Meziyet Sema Erdem, 2006. "Testing for linear and nonlinear Granger Causality in the stock price--volume relation: Turkish banking firms’ evidence," Applied Financial Economics Letters, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 165-171, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. João Paulo Martin Faleiros & Denisard Cnéio de Oliveira Alves, 2008. "Modelo de Crescimento Baseado nas Exportações: Evidências empíricas para Chile, Brasil e México, em uma perspectiva Não Linear," Anais do XXXVI Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 36th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 200807170923500, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pósgraduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics]. [Downloadable!]
  4. Phillip Rothman & Dick van Dijk & Philip Hans Franses, 2000. "A Multivariate STAR Analysis of the Relationship Between Money and Output," Working Papers 0012, East Carolina University, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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  5. Ahmad Zubaidi Baharumshah & Venus Khim-Sen Liew & Evan Lau, 2003. "Nonlinear Mean Reversion in Real Exchange Rates: Evidence from the ASEAN-5," International Trade 0308001, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
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