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An efficient threshold choice for operational risk capital computation

Author

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  • Dominique Guegan

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, BPCE - BPCE)

  • Bertrand Hassani

    (CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - UP1 - Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, BPCE - BPCE)

  • Cédric Naud

    (AON - AON)

Abstract

Operational risk quantification requires dealing with data sets which often present extreme values which have a tremendous impact on capital computations (VaR). In order to take into account these effects we use extreme value distributions, and propose a two pattern model to characterize loss distribution functions associated to operational risks : a lognormal on the corpus of the severity distribution and a Generalized Pareto Distribution on the right tail. The threshold from which the model switches form a scheme to the other one is obtained using a bootstrap method. We use an extension of the Peak-over-threshold method to fit the GPD and the EM algorithm to estimate the lognormal distribution parameters. Through the VaR, we show the impact of the GPD estimation procedure on the capital requirements. Besides, our work points out the importance of the building's choice of the information set by practitioners to compute capital requirements and we exhibit some incoherences with the actual rules. Particularly, we highlight a problem arising from the granularity which has recently been mentioned by the Basel Committee for Banking Supervision.

Suggested Citation

  • Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani & Cédric Naud, 2011. "An efficient threshold choice for operational risk capital computation," Post-Print halshs-00790217, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00790217
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://shs.hal.science/halshs-00790217
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Danielsson, J. & de Haan, L. & Peng, L. & de Vries, C. G., 2001. "Using a Bootstrap Method to Choose the Sample Fraction in Tail Index Estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 226-248, February.
    2. Luceno, Alberto, 2006. "Fitting the generalized Pareto distribution to data using maximum goodness-of-fit estimators," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(2), pages 904-917, November.
    3. Pavel V. Shevchenko & Grigory Temnov, 2009. "Modeling operational risk data reported above a time-varying threshold," Papers 0904.4075, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2009.
    4. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2011. "A mathematical resurgence of risk management: an extreme modeling of expert opinions," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 11057, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    5. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2011. "A mathematical resurgence of risk management: an extreme modeling of expert opinions," Post-Print halshs-00639666, HAL.
    6. Hall, Peter, 1990. "Using the bootstrap to estimate mean squared error and select smoothing parameter in nonparametric problems," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 177-203, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Combining risk measures to overcome their limitations - spectrum representation of the sub-additivity issue, distortion requirement and added-value of the Spatial VaR solution: An application to Regul," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01391103, HAL.
    2. Dominique Guégan & Wayne Tarrant, 2012. "On the necessity of five risk measures," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 533-552, November.
    3. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Risk Measures At Risk- Are we missing the point? Discussions around sub-additivity and distortion," Post-Print halshs-01318093, HAL.
    4. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2014. "Stress Testing Engineering: the real risk measurement?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-00951593, HAL.
    5. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Combining risk measures to overcome their limitations - spectrum representation of the sub-additivity issue, distortion requirement and added-value of the Spatial VaR solution: An application to Regul," Post-Print halshs-01391103, HAL.
    6. Lu Wei & Jianping Li & Xiaoqian Zhu, 2018. "Operational Loss Data Collection: A Literature Review," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 313-337, September.
    7. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2012. "Using a time series approach to correct serial correlation in Operational Risk capital calculation," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 12091r, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised May 2013.
    8. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2012. "Multivariate VaRs for Operational Risk Capital Computation: a Vine Structure Approach," Post-Print halshs-00587706, HAL.
    9. Krzysztof Echaust & Małgorzata Just, 2020. "Value at Risk Estimation Using the GARCH-EVT Approach with Optimal Tail Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-24, January.
    10. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Combining risk measures to overcome their limitations - spectrum representation of the sub-additivity issue, distortion requirement and added-value of the Spatial VaR solution: An application to Regul," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16066, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    11. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2016. "More Accurate Measurement for Enhanced Controls: VaR vs ES?," Post-Print halshs-01281940, HAL.
    12. Ming-Tao CHUNG & Ming-Hua HSIEH & Yan-Ping CHI, 2017. "Computation of Operational Risk for Financial Institutions," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 77-87, September.
    13. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2011. "Multivariate VaRs for Operational Risk Capital Computation: a Vine Structure Approach," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 11017rr, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne, revised Apr 2012.
    14. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2015. "Risk or Regulatory Capital? Bringing distributions back in the foreground," Post-Print halshs-01169268, HAL.
    15. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2015. "Risk or Regulatory Capital? Bringing distributions back in the foreground," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01169268, HAL.
    16. Bertrand Hassani & Alexis Renaudin, 2013. "The Cascade Bayesian Approach for a controlled integration of internal data, external data and scenarios," Post-Print halshs-00795046, HAL.
    17. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Risk Measures At Risk- Are we missing the point? Discussions around sub-additivity and distortion," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16039, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    18. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2014. "Stress Testing Engineering: the real risk measurement?," Post-Print halshs-00951593, HAL.
    19. Bertrand K. Hassani & Alexis Renaudin, 2018. "The Cascade Bayesian Approach: Prior Transformation for a Controlled Integration of Internal Data, External Data and Scenarios," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-17, April.
    20. Dominique Gu�gan & Bertrand Hassani, 2015. "Risk or Regulatory Capital? Bringing distributions back in the foreground," Working Papers 2015:18, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    21. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "Risk Measures At Risk- Are we missing the point? Discussions around sub-additivity and distortion," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01318093, HAL.
    22. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K. Hassani, 2016. "More Accurate Measurement for Enhanced Controls: VaR vs ES?," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 16015, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    23. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand K Hassani, 2015. "Risk or Regulatory Capital? Bringing distributions back in the foreground," Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne 15046, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne.
    24. Dominique Guegan & Bertrand Hassani, 2016. "More Accurate Measurement for Enhanced Controls: VaR vs ES?," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01281940, HAL.

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