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Risque d'explosion de l'Italie, l'un des trois initiateurs de l'Europe ? Application de la méthode Puzzle© à un cas macroéconomique

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Author Info

  • H. Lesca

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - CNRS : UMR5820 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II, UPMF Grenoble II - Université Pierre Mendès France - Ministère de l'Enseignement Supérieur et de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Nicolas Lesca

    (CERAG - Centre d'études et de recherches appliquées à la gestion - CNRS : UMR5820 - Université Pierre Mendès-France - Grenoble II)

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    Abstract

    Le but du présent texte est de présenter la méthode Puzzle® pour l'exploitation des signaux faibles . Elle résulte des travaux de recherche d'une équipe du laboratoire CERAG-CNRS, université Pierre Mendès France, et a fait l'objet d'un grand nombre d'applications en entreprises ainsi que dans des ministères. Pour " faire plus vivant " nous avons choisi d'adopter une forme narrative et de présenter une fiction concernant la Chine. Cependant toutes les informations mentionnées sont exactes et leurs références sont précisées entre parenthèses.

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    File URL: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/docs/00/63/04/49/PDF/cr_CERAG2011-12_E5.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by HAL in its series Post-Print with number halshs-00630449.

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    Date of creation: 01 Jul 2011
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    Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:halshs-00630449

    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: http://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00630449/en/
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    Related research

    Keywords: Risque ; explosion de l'Italie ; initiateurs de l'Europe ; Application de la méthode Puzzle© ; cas macroéconomique;

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