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Institutional determinants of internal conflicts in fragile developing countries

Author

Listed:
  • Syed Muhammad All-E-Raza Rizvi

    (UPEC UP12 - Université Paris-Est Créteil Val-de-Marne - Paris 12)

  • Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis

    (CERDI - Centre d'Études et de Recherches sur le Développement International - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UCA - Université Clermont Auvergne)

Abstract

In this article, we use fixed-effect Poisson regressions (FEPR) with robust standard errors and instrumental variables (IV) to study the economic, social, and institutional determinants of internal conflicts in 58 fragile developing countries from 2004 to 2017. We show that effective institutions (measured by judicial efficiency and governance) and higher incomes could help reduce conflict in fragile countries. In contrast, trade reform does not seem to reduce violence, and education and democratic institutions may fuel conflict in some cases. These results imply that education and trade liberalization do not have the expected effects in fragile countries, which should probably first improve their social, economic, and institutional situation, before reaping the benefits of economic reforms and education. This may also be the case for political reforms, because democratic experience seems to lead to increased violence in some countries in our sample.

Suggested Citation

  • Syed Muhammad All-E-Raza Rizvi & Marie-Ange Véganzonès-Varoudakis, 2023. "Institutional determinants of internal conflicts in fragile developing countries," Post-Print hal-04194036, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-04194036
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2023.06.004
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-04194036
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    Keywords

    Conflict; Fragile countries; Institutions; Economic reforms; Education; Democracy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances; Revolutions
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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