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Aide Publique Au Developpement Et Croissance Economique Au Congo-Kinshasa En Periode De Post-Conflit

Author

Listed:
  • Crispin Malingumu Syosyo

    (IRES - Institut de recherches économiques et sociales)

Abstract

La présente étude vise à analyser l'incidence de l'Aide Publique au Développement sur la croissance économique au Congo-Kinshasa en période de post-conflit de 1999(+)à 2010. Elle vérifie aussi la stabilité de la relation observée en période de post-conflit sur le long terme (c'est-à-dire, entre 1970 à 2010). D'un point de vue empirique, l'aide a été à même de stimuler la croissance économique en phase de post-crise en agissant à travers le canal de la gouvernance démocratique, approximé par le contrôle de la corruption ; l'aide a un coefficient positif et statistiquement significatif. Son rendement est décroissant et statistiquement significatif montrant par là que la capacité du pays à absorber les volumes d'aide de plus en plus important est limitée. Par contre, en long terme (1970-2010), l'aide a un effet négatif et statistiquement significatif sur la croissance et son rendement, bien que statistiquement significatif, a un coefficient nul. Ces résultats contradictoires, semblent suggérer que l'impact de l'aide sur la croissance économique, au Congo-Kinshasa, est hétérogène et instable au fil du temps. Les résultats obtenus à l'issu de cette analyse ne permettent donc pas de dégager, de manière tranchée, l'impact systématique de l'aide sur la croissance économique de ce pays.

Suggested Citation

  • Crispin Malingumu Syosyo, 2013. "Aide Publique Au Developpement Et Croissance Economique Au Congo-Kinshasa En Periode De Post-Conflit," Post-Print hal-03119512, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03119512
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.science/hal-03119512
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Patrick GUILLAUMONT & Sylviane GUILLAUMONT JEANNENEY, 2004. "Une expérience européenne : la conditionnalité de performance au Burkina Faso," Working Papers 200407, CERDI.
    2. Lisa CHAUVET & Patrick GUILLAUMONT, 2006. "Aid, Volatility and Growth,with special reference to Africa," Working Papers 200640, CERDI.
    3. Guillaumont, Patrick & Laajaj, Rachid, 2006. "When instability increases the effectiveness of aid projects," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4034, The World Bank.
    4. Samuel GUERINEAU & Gérard CHAMBAS & Jean-François BRUN, 2008. "Aide et mobilisation fiscale dans les pays en développement," Working Papers 200812, CERDI.
    5. Chauvet, Lisa & Collier, Paul & Duponchel, Marguerite, 2010. "What explains aid project success in post-conflict situations ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5418, The World Bank.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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