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The phasing out of EU agricultural export subsidies : impacts of TWO management schemes

Author

Listed:
  • Alexandre Gohin

    (Économie et Sociologie Rurales - INRA - Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique)

  • Patrice Gautier

Abstract

Les présentes négociations commerciales multilatérales conduites à l'Organisation mondiale du commerce vont probablement conduire à une suppression des subventions directes aux exportations de produits agricoles et agroalimentaires. L'article propose une évaluation au niveau européen des impacts économiques d'un tel scénario. La contribution majeure de l'article est de comparer deux modes de gestion de cette suppression. Le premier mode suppose un ajustement au choc par une nouvelle baisse des prix de soutien des produits agricoles tandis que le second mode considère un renforcement des mesures de contrôle de l'offre domestique. Après une comparaison théorique de ces deux modes de gestion, l'article fournit une évaluation empirique s'appuyant sur une modélisation en équilibre général calculable. Les résultats montrent clairement que la suppression des exportations subventionnées affecte très fortement la filière laitière et ce quel que soit le mode de gestion. Ils montrent surtout que le choix d'un mode de gestion a des conséquences substantielles sur les gains et pertes des différents agents économiques. Les implications politiques, notamment en terme d'évolution de la politique agricole commune, sont finalement discutées.

Suggested Citation

  • Alexandre Gohin & Patrice Gautier, 2005. "The phasing out of EU agricultural export subsidies : impacts of TWO management schemes," Post-Print hal-01931543, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01931543
    as

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Carl GAIGNÉ & Cathie LAROCHE DUPRAZ & Alan MATTHEWS, 2015. "Thirty years of European research on international trade in food and agricultural products," Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies - Revue d'Etudes en Agriculture et Environnement, INRA Department of Economics, vol. 96(1), pages 91-130.
    2. Andrew Muhammad & Richard L. Kilmer, 2008. "The impact of EU export subsidy reductions on U.S. dairy exports," Agribusiness, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 24(4), pages 557-574.

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