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Impact of terrorism on tourism in Turkey: empirical evidence from Turkey

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  • Feridun, Mete

Abstract

This article aims at investigating the causal impact of terrorist attacks on the tourism industry in Turkey based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure for the period between 1986 and 2006. The ARDL bounds test reveals that tourism is in a long-run equilibrium level relationship with terrorism. The evidence obtained from the long-run and short-run parameter estimates indicates the existence of a negative causal effect of terrorism on tourism.

Suggested Citation

  • Feridun, Mete, 2010. "Impact of terrorism on tourism in Turkey: empirical evidence from Turkey," Greenwich Papers in Political Economy 7915, University of Greenwich, Greenwich Political Economy Research Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:gpe:wpaper:7915
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    Cited by:

    1. Eric Neumayer & Thomas Plümper, 2016. "Spatial spill-overs from terrorism on tourism: Western victims in Islamic destination countries," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 169(3), pages 195-206, December.
    2. Julio A. Afonso-Rodríguez & María Santana-Gallego, 2018. "Is Spain benefiting from the Arab Spring? On the impact of terrorism on a tourist competitor country," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 1371-1408, May.
    3. Bassil Charbel, 2014. "The Effect of Terrorism on Tourism Demand in the Middle East," Peace Economics, Peace Science, and Public Policy, De Gruyter, vol. 20(4), pages 1-16, December.
    4. Firat Bilgel & Burhan Can Karahasan, 2019. "Thirty Years of Conflict and Economic Growth in Turkey: A Synthetic Control Approach," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(5), pages 609-631, July.
    5. Krambia-Kapardis Maria & Stylianou Ioanna & Demetriou Salomi, 2022. "Nonlinear nexus between corruption and tourism arrivals: a global analysis," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(4), pages 1997-2024, October.
    6. Anam Aziz & Muhammad Atif Nawaz & Sobia Hanif, 2022. "Effect of Natural Disasters and Terrorism on Tourism Growth: Evidence from Top Ten Tourist’s Destination," iRASD Journal of Economics, International Research Alliance for Sustainable Development (iRASD), vol. 4(2), pages 375-393, June.
    7. Gok, Ibrahim Yasar & Demirdogen, Yavuz & Topuz, Sefa, 2020. "The impacts of terrorism on Turkish equity market: An investigation using intraday data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    8. Jamil Shah & Zilakat Khan Malik & Umar Hayat, 2020. "The Dynamic Effects of Terrorism on Tourism: A Bound Testing Co-Integration Approach," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 16-14.
    9. Samuel Bates, 2021. "A Glance at Tourism Economics over the last decade [Coup d'œil sur l'Économie du Tourisme de la dernière décennie]," Post-Print hal-03263048, HAL.
    10. Sanja Kovačić & Marija Cimbaljević & Tatyana N. Tretyakova & Yulia A. Syromiatnikova & Blanca García Henche & Marko D. Petrović & Ivana Blešić & Tatjana Pivac & Dunja Demirović Bajrami & Tamara Gajić, 2023. "How Has COVID-19 Changed the Way We Travel? Exploring Tourist Personality, Reactions to the Perceived Risk and Change in Travel Behavior," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-20, January.
    11. Duha Altindag, 2014. "Crime and International Tourism," Journal of Labor Research, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 1-14, March.
    12. Young Dae Ko & Byung Duk Song, 2021. "Complementary Cooperation of CCTV and UAV Systems for Tourism Security and Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-15, September.
    13. Dr. Rami Muhammad Al-Dhoun & Dr. Ra’ed Masa’deh & Prof. Musa Al-Lozi, 2017. "The Impact of the September 11th and Amman Hotel Explosion Incidents: The Case on the Incoming Tourism in Jordan," Journal of Social Sciences (COES&RJ-JSS), , vol. 6(4), pages 869-885, October.
    14. Fırat Bilgel & Burhan Can Karahasan, 2017. "The Economic Costs of Separatist Terrorism in Turkey," Journal of Conflict Resolution, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 61(2), pages 457-479, February.
    15. Abeer Elshennawy & Khalid Siddig, 2023. "Terrorism and inbound tourism in Egypt: Economy‐wide and distributional impacts," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(3), pages 1910-1933, August.
    16. Natalia Sypion-Dutkowska & Marek Dutkowski, 2021. "Impact of Tourism on Crime in the Polish Coastal Zone," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(Special 4), pages 549-570.
    17. Seabra, Claudia & Reis, Pedro & Abrantes, José Luís, 2020. "The influence of terrorism in tourism arrivals: A longitudinal approach in a Mediterranean country," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    18. Jamil Shah & Zilakat Khan Malik & Umar Hayat, 2020. "The Dynamic Effects of Terrorism on Tourism: A Bound Testing Co-Integration Approach," IBT Journal of Business Studies (JBS), Ilma University, Faculty of Management Science, vol. 16(1), pages 44-57.
    19. Manrique-de-Lara-Peñate, Casiano & Santana Gallego, María & Valle, Elisabeth Valle, 2022. "The economic impact of global uncertainty and security threats on international tourism," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    20. Recep Ulucak & Ali Gökhan Yücel & Salih Çağrı İlkay, 2020. "Dynamics of tourism demand in Turkey: Panel data analysis using gravity model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1394-1414, December.
    21. Yashobanta Parida & Parul Bhardwaj & Joyita Roy Chowdhury, 2015. "Impact of Terrorism on Tourism in India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 35(4), pages 2543-2557.
    22. Les Coleman, 2012. "Testing equity market efficiency around terrorist attacks," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(31), pages 4087-4099, November.
    23. Brian K. Masinde & Steven Buigut & Joseph K. Mung¡¯atu, 2016. "Modelling the Temporal Effect of Terrorism on Tourism in Kenya," International Journal of Economics and Finance, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 8(12), pages 10-20, December.
    24. Clark, John & Mauck, Nathan & Pruitt, Stephen W., 2021. "The financial impact of COVID-19: Evidence from an event study of global hospitality firms," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    25. Ahmed Muhamad Omer & Mehmet Yeşiltaş, 2020. "“Modeling the impact of wars and terrorism on tourism demand in Kurdistan region of Iraq”," Portuguese Economic Journal, Springer;Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestao, vol. 19(3), pages 301-322, September.

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