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Simultaneous Confidence Bands for Penalized Spline Estimators

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Author Info
Tatyana Krivobokova (Georg-August-Universität Göttingen)
Thomas Kneib (Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München)
Gerda Claeskens (Katholieke Universiteit Leuven)
Abstract

In this paper we construct simultaneous confidence bands for a smooth curve using penalized spline estimators. We consider three types of estimation methods: (i) as a standard (fixed effect) nonparametric model, (ii) using the mixed model framework with the spline coefficients as random effects and (iii) a Bayesian approach. The volume-of-tube formula is applied for the first two methods and compared from a frequentist perspective to Bayesian simultaneous confidence bands. It is shown that the mixed model formulation of penalized splines can help to obtain, at least approximately, confidence bands with either Bayesian or frequentist properties. Simulations and data analysis support the methods proposed. The R package ConfBands accompanies the paper.

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Paper provided by Courant Research Centre PEG in its series Courant Research Centre: Poverty, Equity and Growth - Discussion Papers with number 12.

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Date of creation: 01 Sep 2009
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Handle: RePEc:got:gotcrc:012

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Related research
Keywords: Bayesian penalized splines; B-splines; Confidence band; Mixed model; Penalization;

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This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports: References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Yingxing Li & David Ruppert, 2008. "On the asymptotics of penalized splines," Biometrika, Oxford University Press for Biometrika Trust, vol. 95(2), pages 415-436. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Gerda Claeskens & Tatyana Krivobokova & Jean D. Opsomer, 2009. "Asymptotic properties of penalized spline estimators," Biometrika, Oxford University Press for Biometrika Trust, vol. 96(3), pages 529-544. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Hall, Peter & Titterington, D. M., 1988. "On confidence bands in nonparametric density estimation and regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 228-254, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Göran Kauermann & Tatyana Krivobokova & Ludwig Fahrmeir, 2009. "Some asymptotic results on generalized penalized spline smoothing," Journal Of The Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(2), pages 487-503. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Cited by:
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  1. Axel Munk & Tatyana Krivobokova, 2009. "Comments on: Goodness-of-fit tests in mixed models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer, vol. 18(2), pages 256-259, August. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-12-19.


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