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Spot Market Power and Future Market Trading

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  • Stephen Shore
  • Alexander Muermann

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    Abstract

    When a spot market monopolist participates in the futures market, he has an incentive to adjust spot prices to make his futures market position more pro.table. Rational futures market makers take this into account when they set prices. Spot market power thus creates a moral hazard problem which parallels the adverse selection problem in models with inside information. This moral hazard not only reduces the optimal amount of hedging for those with and without market power, but also makes complete hedging impossible. When market makers cannot distinguish orders placed by those with and without market power, market power provides a venue for strategic trading and market manipulation. The monopolist will strategically randomize his futures market position and then use his market power to make this position pro.table. Furthermore, traders without market power can manipulate futures prices by hiding their orders behind the monopolist.s strategic trades.

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    File URL: http://www.lse.ac.uk/fmg/workingPapers/discussionPapers/fmgdps/dp531.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Financial Markets Group in its series FMG Discussion Papers with number dp531.

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    Date of creation: Apr 2005
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    Handle: RePEc:fmg:fmgdps:dp531

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    Web page: http://www.lse.ac.uk/fmg/

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    Cited by:
    1. Kerstin Stahn, 2011. "Changes in Import Pricing Behaviour: Evidence for Germany," Journal of Economics and Statistics (Jahrbuecher fuer Nationaloekonomie und Statistik), Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Department of Statistics and Economics, vol. 231(4), pages 522-545, August.
    2. Sanjeev K. Routray, 2006. "Two Kinds of Activism: Reflections on Citizenship in Globalising Delhi," Working Papers id:463, eSocialSciences.

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