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Credit crunched: single parents, Universal Credit and the struggle to make work pay

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  • Brewer, Mike
  • De Agostini, Paola

Abstract

This paper examines the likely impact of Universal Credit on the incomes and work incentives of single parent families. Using the UK module of EUROMOD (version F6.20), we also simulate how single parents’ household income, and their work incentives, would change following adjustments to the universal credit structure. We examine four main alternative scenarios: 1) reducing the overall universal credit taper rate from 65% to 55%; 2) Increasing the basic (standard) allowances in universal credit for single parents; 3) Increasing the earnings disregard in universal credit for single parents and 4) Increasing the income tax threshold for the basic tax rate. We also examine the impact on single parents of an increase in the minimum wage. Finally, we examine the impact on the Exchequer of a five percentage point increase in the single parent employment rate, in terms of benefits saved and taxes paid.

Suggested Citation

  • Brewer, Mike & De Agostini, Paola, 2015. "Credit crunched: single parents, Universal Credit and the struggle to make work pay," EUROMOD Working Papers EM3/15, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
  • Handle: RePEc:ese:emodwp:em3-15
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    1. Stuart Adam & James Browne, 2013. "Do the UK Government’s welfare reforms make work pay," IFS Working Papers W13/26, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
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    Cited by:

    1. repec:cep:spccrp:22 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. De Agostini, Paola & Sutherland, Holly & Hills, John, 2015. "Were we really all in it together? The distributional effects of the 2010-2015 UK Coalition government’s tax-benefit policy changes: an end-of-term update," EUROMOD Working Papers EM13/15, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
    3. John Hills, 2015. "The Coalition's Record on Cash Transfers, Poverty and Inequality 2010-2015," CASE - Social Policy in a Cold Climate Working Paper 11, Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, LSE.
    4. repec:cep:spccrp:11 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:cep:spccrp:10 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Paola De Agostini & John Hills & Holly Sutherland, 2014. "Were we really all in it together? The distributional effects of the UK Coalition government's tax-benefit policy changes," CASE - Social Policy in a Cold Climate Working Paper 10, Centre for Analysis of Social Exclusion, LSE.
    7. De Agostini, Paola & Hills, John & Sutherland, Holly, 2015. "Were we really all in it together? The distributional effects of the 2010-2015 UK Coalition government's tax-benefit policy changes: an end-of-term update," EUROMOD Working Papers EM13/15, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.

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