IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/een/camaaa/2016-54.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Growth in international commodity prices, the terms of trade, and GDP per capita: A case study of Vietnam

Author

Listed:
  • Markus Brueckner
  • Kien Trung Nguyen

Abstract

The Vietnamese economy is characterized by a high degree of international trade openness and a relatively low GDP share of net-exports. This paper examines the effect of growth in the terms of trade, and more specifically, in international commodity prices, on Vietnam's GDP per capita growth. The paper finds that, during 2000-2014, growth in the terms of trade contributed positively to Vietnam's GDP per capita growth but the effect is not large: less than one-tenth of Vietnam’s GDP per capita growth was due to growth in its terms of trade. The paper argues that the relatively small effect of growth in the terms of trade on GDP per capita growth is due to a low GDP share of net-exports. Econometric model estimates show that transitional convergence accounted for about half of Vietnam's GDP per capita growth during 2000-2014.

Suggested Citation

  • Markus Brueckner & Kien Trung Nguyen, 2016. "Growth in international commodity prices, the terms of trade, and GDP per capita: A case study of Vietnam," CAMA Working Papers 2016-54, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2016-54
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2016-09/54_2016_brueckner_nguyen.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jorge Thompson Araujo & Markus Brueckner & Mateo Clavijo & Ekaterina Vostroknutova & Konstantin M. Wacker, 2014. "Benchmarking the Determinants of Economic Growth in Latin America and the Caribbean," World Bank Publications - Reports 21318, The World Bank Group.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Juan Obach & Miguel Angel Santos & Ricardo Hausmann, 2017. "Appraising the Economic Potential of Panama Policy Recommendations for Sustainable and Inclusive Growth," CID Working Papers 334, Center for International Development at Harvard University.
    2. Markus Brueckner & Birgit Hansl, 2016. "Drivers of Growth in Russia," CEPR Discussion Papers 694, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    3. Markus Brueckner & Paitoon Kraipornsak, 2016. "Determinants of Economic Growth in South East Asia: An Analysis for the First Decade of the Third Millennium," ANU Working Papers in Economics and Econometrics 2016-630, Australian National University, College of Business and Economics, School of Economics.
    4. Markus Brueckner & Birgit Hansl, 2018. "Drivers of Growth in the Philippines," CEPR Discussion Papers 702, Centre for Economic Policy Research, Research School of Economics, Australian National University.
    5. World Bank Group, 2015. "Ethiopia’s Great Run," World Bank Publications - Reports 23333, The World Bank Group.
    6. Darwin Marcelo & Cledan Mandri-Perrott & Schuyler House, 2016. "Prioritizing Infrastructure Investments in Panama," World Bank Publications - Reports 24404, The World Bank Group.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2016-54. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Cama Admin (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/asanuau.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.