IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ecr/col026/40241.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Premature deindustrialization in Latin America

Author

Listed:
  • Castillo, Mario
  • Martins, Antonio

Abstract

Defining deindustrialization as a situation of falling share of manufacturing employment and value added in total employment and GDP, respectively, and a rising specialization in primary goods, this paper provides an empirical analysis of the recent (and in some cases historical) path of four Latin American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Chile and Mexico), contributing to the debate on the matter of premature deindustrialization. We argue that Argentina, Brazil and Chile face premature deindustrialization, increasing their specialization in commodities, resource-based manufactures and low productivity services, while Mexico urges a deeper analyze of its structure.

Suggested Citation

  • Castillo, Mario & Martins, Antonio, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization in Latin America," Desarrollo Productivo 40241, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    • Handle: RePEc:ecr:col026:40241
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://repositorio.cepal.org/handle/11362/40241
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. -, 2013. "The digital economy for structural change and equality," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 35954 edited by Eclac, September.
    2. Marcel P. Timmer & Erik Dietzenbacher & Bart Los & Robert Stehrer & Gaaitzen J. Vries, 2015. "An Illustrated User Guide to the World Input–Output Database: the Case of Global Automotive Production," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 23(3), pages 575-605, August.
    3. Robert Rowthorn & Ramana Ramaswamy, 1999. "Growth, Trade, and Deindustrialization," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 46(1), pages 1-2.
    4. Anthony P. Thirlwall, 2011. "The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 64(259), pages 429-438.
    5. Margaret S. McMillan & Dani Rodrik, 2011. "Globalization, Structural Change and Productivity Growth," NBER Working Papers 17143, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. repec:dgr:rugggd:gd-149 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Mario Cimoli & Gabriel Porcile, 2014. "Technology, structural change and BOP-constrained growth: a structuralist toolbox," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 38(1), pages 215-237.
    8. Robert Rowthorn & Ken Coutts, 2004. "De-industrialisation and the balance of payments in advanced economies," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 28(5), pages 767-790, September.
    9. Sanjaya Lall, 2000. "The Technological Structure and Performance of Developing Country Manufactured Exports, 1985-98," Oxford Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(3), pages 337-369.
    10. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    11. Ricardo Azevedo Araujo & Gilberto Tadeu Lima, 2007. "A structural economic dynamics approach to balance-of-payments-constrained growth," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 31(5), pages 755-774, September.
    12. -, 2014. "Compacts for Equality: Towards a Sustainable Future," Libros y Documentos Institucionales, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 36693 edited by Eclac, September.
    13. Szirmai, Adam, 2012. "Industrialisation as an engine of growth in developing countries, 1950–2005," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 23(4), pages 406-420.
    14. Fiona Tregenna, 2009. "Characterising deindustrialisation: An analysis of changes in manufacturing employment and output internationally," Cambridge Journal of Economics, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 33(3), pages 433-466, May.
    15. -, 2005. "Beyond reforms: structural dynamics and macroeconomic vulnerability," Coediciones, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), number 1290 edited by Eclac, July.
    16. -, 2014. "Compacts for Equality: Towards a Sustainable Future," Documentos de posición del período de sesiones de la Comisión 36693, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    17. repec:idb:brikps:59518 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Rob Vos & Roberto Frenkel & José Antonio Ocampo & José Gabriel Palma & Manuel Marfán & Jaime Ros & Lance Taylor & Nelson Correa & Mario Cimoli, 2005. "Beyond Reforms: Structural Dynamics and Macroeconomic Vulnerability," IDB Publications (Books), Inter-American Development Bank, number 59518 edited by José Antonio Ocampo, February.
    19. Lavopa, Alejandro & Szirmai, Adam, 2015. "Industrialisation in Time and Space," MERIT Working Papers 2015-039, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Afonso, Damares Lopes & Bastos, Suzana Quinet de Andrade & Perobelli, Fernando Salgueiro, 2021. "Latin America and China: mutual benefit or dependency?," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), December.
    2. Alberto Botta & Giuliano Toshiro Yajima & Gabriel Porcile, 2023. "Structural change, productive development, and capital flows: does financial “bonanza” cause premature deindustrialization?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 433-473.
    3. Taguchi, Hiroyuki, 2022. "Risk of premature deindustrialization: the case of the latecomer’s developing countries in Asia," MPRA Paper 113551, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Nassif, André & Morandi, Lucilene & Araújo, Eliane & Feijó, Carmem, 2020. "Economic development and stagnation in Brazil (1950–2011)," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
    5. Pérez Ludeña, Miguel, 2017. "Chinese Investments in Latin America: Opportunities for growth and diversification," Desarrollo Productivo 41134, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    6. Ahmet Sekerkaya & Feyza Nur Ozkan & Gozde Gusan Kose & Dogan Akarsu, 2020. "Consumer Reactions to Technological Attributes in Product Design: A Technology Acceptance Model Perspective," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 34(2), pages 151-176.
    7. Haider, Khan & Szymanski-Burgos, Adam, 2021. "COVID-19 and Strategic Sectors in Brazil: A Socially-Embedded Intersectional Capabilities Approach," MPRA Paper 109022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Romano, Livio & Traù, Fabrizio, 2017. "The nature of industrial development and the speed of structural change," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 26-37.
    9. Taguchi, Hiroyuki & Elbek, Abdullaev, 2022. "Premature deindustrialization in post-Soviet economies," MPRA Paper 114413, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Valeriy V. Mironov & Liudmila D. Konovalova, 2019. "Structural changes and economic growth in the world economy and Russia," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 5(1), pages 1-26, April.
    2. Jose Luis da Costa Oreiro & Stefan Wilson d'Amato & Luciano Luiz Manarin D'Agostini & Paulo Sergio de Oliveira Simoes Gala, 2022. "Measuring the technological backwardness of middle-and low-income countries: The employment quality gap and its relationship with the per capita income gap," PSL Quarterly Review, Economia civile, vol. 75(301), pages 139-159.
    3. Gabriel, Luciano Ferreira & de Santana Ribeiro, Luiz Carlos, 2019. "Economic growth and manufacturing: An analysis using Panel VAR and intersectoral linkages," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 43-61.
    4. Murat Arsel & Servaas Storm, 2015. "Forum 2015," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 46(4), pages 666-699, July.
    5. Fabrício Misso & Ricardo Araújo Azevedo & Frederico Jayme Jr, 2013. "An extended structural economic dynamics approach to balance-of-payments constrained growth: level of the real exchange rate and endogenous elasticities," Textos para Discussão Cedeplar-UFMG 499, Cedeplar, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais.
    6. Missio, Fabricio & Araujo, Ricardo Azevedo & Jayme, Frederico G., 2017. "Endogenous elasticities and the impact of the real exchange rate on structural economic dynamics," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 67-75.
    7. K J Joseph & Kiran Kumar Kakarlapudi & Akhil Joseph, 2020. "Deindustrialization and innovation under globalization: An analysis of India’s catch up in manufacturing [Desindustrialização e inovação na globalização: uma análise do catch up indiano na manufatura]," Nova Economia, Economics Department, Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (Brazil), vol. 30(spe), pages 1199-1224, December.
    8. Lengyel, Imre & Nagy, Benedek & Udvari, Beáta, 2019. "Újraiparosodás Kelet-Közép-Európában - újraéledő centrum-periféria munkamegosztás? [Reindustrialization in Central and Eastern Europe: reviving the core and periphery division of labour?]," Közgazdasági Szemle (Economic Review - monthly of the Hungarian Academy of Sciences), Közgazdasági Szemle Alapítvány (Economic Review Foundation), vol. 0(2), pages 163-184.
    9. Emre Özçelik & Erdal Özmen, 2020. "Premature Deindustrialisation: The International Evidence," ERC Working Papers 2001, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Sep 2020.
    10. Gozgor, Giray, 2018. "Does the structure of employment affect the external imbalances? Theory and evidence," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 77-83.
    11. Alberto Botta & Giuliano Toshiro Yajima & Gabriel Porcile, 2023. "Structural change, productive development, and capital flows: does financial “bonanza” cause premature deindustrialization?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 32(2), pages 433-473.
    12. Giovanni Dosi & Federico Riccio & Maria Enrica Virgillito, 2022. "Specialize or diversify? And in What? Trade composition, quality of specialization, and persistent growth [Catching up, forging ahead, and falling behind]," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 31(2), pages 301-337.
    13. Nassif, André & Morandi, Lucilene & Araújo, Eliane & Feijó, Carmem, 2020. "Economic development and stagnation in Brazil (1950–2011)," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-15.
    14. Fiona Tregenna, 2011. "Manufacturing Productivity, Deindustrialization, and Reindustrialization," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2011-057, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    15. Robert A. Blecker, 2022. "New advances and controversies in the framework of balance‐of‐payments‐constrained growth," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(2), pages 429-467, April.
    16. van Neuss, Leif, 2018. "Globalization and deindustrialization in advanced countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 49-63.
    17. Gisela Di Meglio & Jorge Gallego & Andrés Maroto & Maria Savona, 2015. "Services in Developing Economies: A new chance for catching-up?," SPRU Working Paper Series 2015-32, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    18. Zoran Aralica & Nebojša Stojčić, 2015. "Regional Patterns of Deindustrialization and Prospects for Reindustrialization in South and Central East European Countries," wiiw Balkan Observatory Working Papers 118, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, wiiw.
    19. Ghulam Yahya Khan & Salik Mehboob & Lydia Bares Lopez, 2018. "Deindustrialization and Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(4), pages 462-475, December.
    20. Dávila-Fernández, Marwil & Oreiro, José, 2021. "A song of ice and fire: Competitiveness in an export-led growing economy," MPRA Paper 109821, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecr:col026:40241. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Biblioteca CEPAL (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/eclaccl.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.