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How Useful are Regime-Switching Models in Banking Crises Identification?

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Author Info
Tai-kuang Ho
Abstract

We employ a regime-switching approach to the identification of banking crises. This approach reduces the arbitrariness in crisis identification by endogenizing the choices of crisis threshold and crisis duration. Using a sample of 47 countries, we show that this approach also subject to several same problems as the common procedures. The method is sample-dependent, tends to invent much more crises, and is less robust to different model specifications. We conclude that a bind application of regime switching model to crisis identification is questionable

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Paper provided by Econometric Society in its series Econometric Society 2004 Far Eastern Meetings with number 764.

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Date of creation: 11 Aug 2004
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Handle: RePEc:ecm:feam04:764

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Related research
Keywords: Markov-switching model choice of crisis threshold banking crises identification

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models
C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other
G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Mortgages

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