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Profitability, Capacity, and Uncertainty: A Robust Model of UK Manufacturing Investment

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Author Info

  • Driver, Ciaran

    (Imperial College Management School)

  • Paul Temple

    (University of Surrey)

  • Giovanni Urga

    (City University Business School)

Abstract

This paper uses a model of capital investment that ascribes a theoretical role to profitability and uncertainty in determining the capital-output ratio. Empirical implementation uses quarterly data from UK manufacturing over a thirty-year period, and unique co-integrating relationships are obtained for two asset classes: buildings and plant and machinery. The corresponding dynamic equations are also well specified. Non-nested testing shows that the performance of the estimated investment models ranks similarly to the performance of predictions from direct investment intentions.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Royal Economic Society in its series Royal Economic Society Annual Conference 2002 with number 66.

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Date of creation: 29 Aug 2002
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Handle: RePEc:ecj:ac2002:66

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Web page: http://www.res.org.uk/society/annualconf.asp
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Cited by:
  1. Christopher F. Baum & Atreya Chakraborty & Liyan Han & Boyan Liu, 2012. "The effects of uncertainty and corporate governance on firms’ demand for liquidity," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(4), pages 515-525, February.
  2. Talavera, Oleksandr & Tsapin, Andriy & Zholud, Oleksandr, 2012. "Macroeconomic uncertainty and bank lending: The case of Ukraine," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 279-293.
  3. Christopher F. Baum & Atreya Chakraborty & Boyan Liu, 2008. "The Impact of Macroeconomic Uncertainty on Firms' Changes in Financial Leverage," Boston College Working Papers in Economics 688, Boston College Department of Economics.
  4. Christopher F. Baum & Dorothea Schäfer & Oleksandr Talavera, 2006. "The Effects of Industry-Level Uncertainty on Cash Holdings: The Case of Germany," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 638, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.

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