Return Explanatory Ability and Predictability of Non-Linear Market Models
AbstractRecent literature supports the pricing of higher-order systematic co-moments of returns. This paper provides some support for the quadratic-market model that is consistent with the three-moment CAPM in explaining time-series returns of the winner and the smallest size portfolios. This study further uses three innovative methodologies in analysing the ability of the linear CAPM, the quadratic- and the cubic-market models in predicting one-period- ahead returns on individual stocks, equally- and value-weighted portfolios of momentum, size and country sorts. The results are surprising but important that the higher-moment CAPM market models do not outperform the linear CAPM in the return predictability tests.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Durham University Business School in its series Working Papers with number 2007_05.
Date of creation: 20 Mar 2007
Date of revision:
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Asset Pricing; Non-Linearity; Return Predictability;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
- G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
- G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
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