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Personal Income Tax Elasticity in Turkey: 1975-2005

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Author Info
Yesim Kustepeli () (Department of Economics, Faculty of Business, Dokuz Eylül University)
Onur Sapci () (Department of Economics, Faculty of Business, Dokuz Eylül University)
Abstract

The estimation of tax elasticity; the response of tax revenues to changes in income, is important for at least three reasons: i) formulating government budgets and monitoring tax collections (Sen, 2002), ii) the specification of tax functions, iii) the automatic stabilizing properties of the tax system and the public sector deficit (Hutton, Lambert; 1980, 1982). Among the various approaches to tax elasticity calculation in literature (Tanzi, 1969, 1976; Greytak and McHugh, 1978; Hutton and Lambert, 1980; Ehdaie, 1990), the most famous approach is Tanzi’s Method due to its simplicity and the consensus about its correctness of elasticity estimates. Johansen cointegration tests for the period 1975 - 2005 show that personal income tax elasticity in Turkey is around 0.95, indicating almost unit elasticity. Increasing income can be considered as insurance to maintain an equivalent increase in tax revenue; however it doesn’t seem to be the way to obtain higher tax revenues.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics in its series Discussion Paper Series with number 06/01.

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Length: 12 pages
Date of creation: 11 Jul 2006
Date of revision: 11 Jul 2006
Handle: RePEc:deu:dpaper:0601

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Related research
Keywords: Personal income tax; tax elasticity; Tanzi method;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies

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  1. Tanzi, Vito, 1969. "Measuring the Sensitivity of the Federal Income Tax from Cross-Section Data: A New Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(2), pages 206-09, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Alan J. Auerbach & Daniel Feenberg, 2000. "The Significance of Federal Taxes as Automatic Stabilizers," NBER Working Papers 7662, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Hutton, J P & Lambert, P J, 1980. "Evaluating Income Tax Revenue Elasticities," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 90(363), pages 901-06, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Singer, Neil M, 1970. "Estimating State Income-Tax Revenues: A New Approach," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 52(4), pages 427-33, November. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Daniel Feenberg & James Poterba, 1993. "Income Inequality and the Incomes of Very High Income Taxpayers: Evidence from Tax Returns," NBER Working Papers 4229, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Hutton, John P & Lambert, Peter J, 1982. "Modelling the Effects of Income Growth and Discretionary Change on the Sensitivity of UK Income Tax Revenue," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(365), pages 145-55, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Latham, Roger, 1988. "Lorenz-Dominating Income Tax Functions," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 29(1), pages 185-200, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Austan Goolsbee, 1999. "Evidence on the High-Income Laffer Curve from Six Decades of Tax Reform," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 30(1999-2), pages 1-64. [Downloadable!]
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