The Transmission of Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Shocks in Japan : Has There Been a Structural Change ?
AbstractDespite expansionary fiscal and monetary policies, the Japanese real economy has been stagnatingsince the bubble bursting in the early nineties. Within a multivariate setup, this paper proposesto test for and date a possible structural shift in the response of Japanese macroeconomic fluctuations toaggregate supply and aggregate demand shocks. The econometric methodology directly derives from Andrews and Bai, Lumsdaine and Stock  theoretical results. Our empirical study from monthlypost-1980 observations reveals i) a significant structural break in December 1991, and ii) a sharp decreasein the influence of demand shocks on Japanese output fluctuations after this date.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Centre de Recherche en Economie et Statistique in its series Working Papers with number 2005-14.
Date of creation: 2005
Date of revision:
Other versions of this item:
- Bec Frédérique & Bastien Alexia, 2007. "The Transmission of Aggregate Supply and Aggregate Demand Shocks in Japan: Has There Been a Structural Change?," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 11(4), pages 1-25, December.
- E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
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- Frédérique Bec & Christian Gollier, 2009. "Term Structure and Cyclicity of Value-at-Risk: Consequences for the Solvency Capital Requirement," CESifo Working Paper Series 2596, CESifo Group Munich.
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