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Stochastic Process Switching and Stage III of EMU

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  • De Grauwe, Paul
  • Dewachter, Hans
  • Veestraeten, Dirk

Abstract

In this paper we solve a particular type of stochastic process switching problem where the terminal date is fixed but the terminal price may depend on past prices. We apply this framework to the effect of various conversion modalities currently discussed on exchange rate dynamics in the transition phase towards Stage III of EMU. The conclusions from our analysis may provide guidelines not only for the initial EMU members, but also for the countries that join at a later stage.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers in its series CEPR Discussion Papers with number 1783.

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Date of creation: Jan 1998
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Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1783

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Related research

Keywords: conversion rates; EMU; Stage III; Stochastic Process Switching;

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Cited by:
  1. Wilfling, Bernd & Maennig, Wolfgang, 2001. "Exchange rate dynamics in anticipation of time-contingent regime switching: modelling the effects of a possible delay," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 91-113, February.
  2. Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Marc-Alexandre Sénégas, 2003. "Comment fixer les cours de change?. Annonces et correspondances maastrichtiennes," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 69(1), pages 39-71.
  3. Bernd Wilfling, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre-Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 4, pages 433-457, November.

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