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Stochastic Process Switching and Stage III of EMU

Author

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  • De Grauwe, Paul
  • Dewachter, Hans
  • Veestraeten, Dirk

Abstract

In this paper we solve a particular type of stochastic process switching problem where the terminal date is fixed but the terminal price may depend on past prices. We apply this framework to the effect of various conversion modalities currently discussed on exchange rate dynamics in the transition phase towards Stage III of EMU. The conclusions from our analysis may provide guidelines not only for the initial EMU members, but also for the countries that join at a later stage.

Suggested Citation

  • De Grauwe, Paul & Dewachter, Hans & Veestraeten, Dirk, 1998. "Stochastic Process Switching and Stage III of EMU," CEPR Discussion Papers 1783, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:1783
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Wilfling Bernd, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre-Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, De Gruyter, vol. 4(4), pages 433-457, December.
    2. Bernd Wilfling, 2003. "Interest Rate Volatility Prior to Monetary Union under Alternative Pre-Switch Regimes," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 4, pages 433-457, November.
    3. Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Marc-Alexandre Sénégas, 2003. "Comment fixer les cours de change?. Annonces et correspondances maastrichtiennes," Recherches économiques de Louvain, De Boeck Université, vol. 69(1), pages 39-71.
    4. Wilfling, Bernd & Maennig, Wolfgang, 2001. "Exchange rate dynamics in anticipation of time-contingent regime switching: modelling the effects of a possible delay," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 91-113, February.
    5. De Grauwe, Paul & Dewachter, Hans & Veestraeten, Dirk, 1999. "Price dynamics under stochastic process switching: some extensions and an application to EMU1," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 195-224, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    conversion rates; EMU; Stage III; Stochastic Process Switching;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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