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Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Author

Listed:
  • Ilzetzki, Ethan
  • Reinhart, Carmen
  • Rogoff, Kenneth

Abstract

This paper employs an updated algorithm and database for classifying exchange rate and anchor currency choice, to explore the evolution of the global exchange rate system, including parallel rates, capital controls and reserves. In line with a large recent literature, we find that the dollar has become ever-more central as the de facto anchor or reference currencies for much of the world. Our discussion encompasses the history of anchor currency choice, methods for classifying exchange rate regimes, a detailed discussion of the evolution of regimes, the growing substitution of reserves for capital controls as a tool for exchange rate stabilization, the modern Triffin dilemma, and the surprising recent trend decline in volatility of exchange rates at the core of the system. It concludes with issues surrounding the rise of China.

Suggested Citation

  • Ilzetzki, Ethan & Reinhart, Carmen & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2021. "Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes," CEPR Discussion Papers 16722, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:16722
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    Cited by:

    1. Zheng-Hao Lai & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2023. "Evaluating the Treatment Effect of Hard Pegs: New Wine in Old Bottles," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 813-830, September.
    2. Massimo Amato & Francesco Saraceno, 2022. "Squaring the circle: How to guarantee fiscal space and debt sustainability with a European Debt Agency," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 22172, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    3. Kenneth Rogoff, 2022. "Emerging Market Sovereign Debt in the Aftermath of the Pandemic," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 36(4), pages 147-166, Fall.
    4. Massimo Amato & Francesco Saraceno, 2022. "Squaring the circle: How to guarantee fiscal space and debt sustainability with a European Debt Agency," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03554212, HAL.
    5. Audrey Sallenave & Jean-Pierre Allegret & Tolga Omay, 2024. "Can governments sleep more soundly when holding international reserves? A banking and financial vulnerabilities perspective," Post-Print hal-03945433, HAL.
    6. Rapetti, Martin & Palazzo, Gabriel & Waldman, Joaquin, 2023. "Planes de estabilización: Evidencia de América Latina [Stabilization plans: Evidence from Latin America]," MPRA Paper 118910, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Fernando Eguren-Martin & Andrej Sokol, 2022. "Attention to the Tail(s): Global Financial Conditions and Exchange Rate Risks," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 70(3), pages 487-519, September.
    8. Eduardo Levy Yeyati & Federico Sturzenegger, 2022. "Exchange Rate Regimes 20 years later: The prevalence of floats," Working Papers 166, Universidad de San Andres, Departamento de Economia, revised Nov 2023.
    9. Eduardo Levy-Yeyati & Federico Sturzenegger, 2022. "Classifying Exchange Rate Regimes: 20 Years Later," Working Papers 182, Red Nacional de Investigadores en Economía (RedNIE).
    10. Vanessa Olakemi Dovonou, 2023. "Trilemma revisited with dollar dominance in trade and finance," Working Papers 2023.05, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    11. Massimo Amato & Francesco Saraceno, 2022. "Squaring the circle: How to guarantee fiscal space and debt sustainability with a European Debt Agency," Working Papers hal-03554212, HAL.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Exchange rate regimes; International monetary system; Capital controls; Anchor currencies; Exchange rate volatility; Triffin dilemma;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E5 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • F4 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance
    • N2 - Economic History - - Financial Markets and Institutions

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