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Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Different Distributional Assumptions

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  • BRAIONE, Manuela
  • SCHOLTES, Nicolas K.

Abstract

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Suggested Citation

  • BRAIONE, Manuela & SCHOLTES, Nicolas K., 2016. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk under Different Distributional Assumptions," LIDAM Reprints CORE 2733, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
  • Handle: RePEc:cor:louvrp:2733
    Note: In : Econometrics, 4(3) 2016, p.1-27
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Seul-Ki Park & Ji-Eun Choi & Dong Wan Shin, 2017. "Value at risk forecasting for volatility index," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(21), pages 1613-1620, December.
    2. Hallin, Marc & Trucíos, Carlos, 2023. "Forecasting value-at-risk and expected shortfall in large portfolios: A general dynamic factor model approach," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 1-15.
    3. Degiannakis, Stavros & Potamia, Artemis, 2017. "Multiple-days-ahead value-at-risk and expected shortfall forecasting for stock indices, commodities and exchange rates: Inter-day versus intra-day data," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 176-190.
    4. Thilini Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar T. Rachev, 2021. "Global Index on Financial Losses Due to Crime in the United States," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, July.
    5. Li, Jiang-Cheng & Tao, Chen & Li, Hai-Feng, 2022. "Dynamic forecasting performance and liquidity evaluation of financial market by Econophysics and Bayesian methods," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 588(C).
    6. Laura Garcia‐Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2021. "Volatility specifications versus probability distributions in VaR forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(2), pages 189-212, March.
    7. Rehman, Mobeen Ur & Owusu Junior, Peterson & Ahmad, Nasir & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Time-varying risk analysis for commodity futures," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Emrah ALTUN & Morad ALIZADEH & Gamze OZEL & Hüseyin TATLIDIL & Najmieh MAKSAYI, 2017. "Forecasting Value-At-Risk With Two-Step Method: Garch-Exponentiated Odd Log-Logistic Normal Model," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(4), pages 97-115, December.
    9. Marc Hallin & Carlos Trucíos, 2020. "Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in Large Portfolios: a General Dynamic Factor Approach," Working Papers ECARES 2020-50, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    10. Thilini Mahanama & Abootaleb Shirvani & Svetlozar Rachev, 2021. "Global Index on Financial Losses due to Crime in the United States," Papers 2105.03514, arXiv.org.
    11. Malik Zaka Ullah & Fouad Othman Mallawi & Mir Asma & Stanford Shateyi, 2022. "On the Conditional Value at Risk Based on the Laplace Distribution with Application in GARCH Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-13, August.
    12. Jung-Bin Su, 2022. "The Research on the Interactions between the Emerging and Developed Markets: From Region and Structural Break Perspectives," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-38, April.
    13. José Antonio Núñez-Mora & Roberto Joaquín Santillán-Salgado & Mario Iván Contreras-Valdez, 2022. "COVID Asymmetric Impact on the Risk Premium of Developed and Emerging Countries’ Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-36, April.
    14. Laura Garcia-Jorcano & Alfonso Novales, 2020. "A dominance approach for comparing the performance of VaR forecasting models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 1411-1448, September.
    15. Hussein Khraibani & Bilal Nehme & Olivier Strauss, 2018. "Interval Estimation of Value-at-Risk Based on Nonparametric Models," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 6(4), pages 1-30, December.
    16. Owusu Junior, Peterson & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Tweneboah, George & Asafo-Adjei, Emmanuel, 2022. "GAS and GARCH based value-at-risk modeling of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    17. Amiri , Hossein & Najafi Nejad , Mahmood & Mousavi , Seyede Mohadese, 2021. "Estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) Based On Lévy-GARCH Models: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(2), pages 165-186, June.
    18. Sobreira, Nuno & Louro, Rui, 2020. "Evaluation of volatility models for forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall in the Portuguese stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).

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