Economic Modelling and the National Strategy for Vocational Education and Training
AbstractIn 1994, the Australian National Training Authority (ANTA) was established by agreement between the Commonwealth, State and Territory governments. Central to the agreement is the National Strategy for Vocational Education and Training (VET) which is organized around the four main themes of responsiveness, quality, accessibility and efficiency. To promote efficiency in the allocation of training resources, ANTA and a number of State government agencies responsible for VET planning take into account employment forecasts generated using the MONASH model of the Australian economy. To promote responsiveness to the needs of industry, a network of industry training and advisory bodies (ITABs) has been set up. The ITABs' responsibilities include the development of "industry-credible, high-quality industry training plans as frameworks for identifying training needs in each industry, and for considering resource requirements". In this paper we review some of the issues that arise in reconciling the information produced at these diverse levels of planning. In particular, we consider the role of the MONASH forecasting system as a planning framework for vocational education and training, and the caveats that must be borne in assessing the performance of the system in this role.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre in its series Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers with number g-117.
Date of creation: Mar 1996
Date of revision:
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
- D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
- E47 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
- I20 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Education - - - General
- J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
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- Adams, Philip D. & Dixon, Peter B. & McDonald, Daina & Meagher, G. A. & Parmenter, Brian R., 1994. "Forecasts for the Australian economy using the MONASH model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 557-571, December.
- G.A. Meagher & B.R. Parmenter, 1996. "Future Workforce Skills: Projections with the MONASH Model," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-116, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
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