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Conveniencia de una regla fiscal de balance estructural para Colombia

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Author Info

  • Hugo López

    ()

  • Remberto Rhenals

    ()

  • Jesús Botero

    ()

  • Christian Posso

    ()

Abstract

Este artículo se ocupa de la conveniencia de una regla fiscal de balance estructural paraColombia. En primer lugar (sección A) se examina el papel y la racionalidad de las reglasfiscales y se estudia el tema de su diseño. La sección (B) está dedicada al examen de laregla fiscal Chilena y sus impactos macroeconómicos. En la sección (C) se hace unarevisión sucinta de las tendencias de largo plazo del gasto público en Colombia, de sudesempeño reciente y sus principales inflexibilidades y se examinan las recomendacionesque, en materia institucional, hizo recientemente la Comisión Independiente del Gastopúblico. Usando un modelo de equilibrio general, la sección (D) realiza una simulación delos impactos que -en el evento de una crisis futura- una regla fiscal tendría sobre elcrecimiento, el empleo y la pobreza. En fin la sección (E) se ocupa de los problemas dediseño y, de manera muy preliminar, de los pasos institucionales necesarios para la puestaen marcha de una regla fiscal de balance estructural en el país.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 004578.

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Length: 37
Date of creation: 25 Mar 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:col:000094:004578

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Related research

Keywords: Reglas fiscales; Gasto público; Déficit; Equilibrio general computable; Crecimiento y empleo.;

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Cited by:
  1. Ramiro Rodríguez Revilla, 2011. "Modelos de equilibrio general dinámicos y estocásticos para Colombia 1995-2011," REVISTA ECOS DE ECONOMÍA, UNIVERSIDAD EAFIT.

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