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Medidas De Riesgo Financiero Usando Cópulas: Teoría Y Aplicaciones

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Author Info
Oscar Becerra ()
Luis Fernando Melo ()

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Abstract

Este documento realiza una descripción de las medidas de dependencia con sus principales ventajas y desventajas y presenta a la cópula como una estructura flexible que permite caracterizar diferentes tipos de dependencia. Adicionalmente, introduce el uso de la cópula en la medici´on de riesgo financiero, tomando como ejemplo un portafolio compuesto por tres activos representativos del mercado colombiano. Las pruebas de desempeño o de backtesting del valor en riesgo calculado por diferentes metodologías en los años 2006 y 2007 muestran que las mejores son aquellas que modelan la dependencia en media y varianza, tales como modelos VAR-GARCH-C´opula(t) y VAR-GARCH-Co´pula(normal). Las técnicas con el peor desempeño son Riskmetrics R y la basada en el supuesto de normalidad.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA in its series BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA with number 004523.

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Length: 96
Date of creation: 19 Feb 2008
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Handle: RePEc:col:000094:004523

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-12.


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