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Workers Transitions from Temporary to Permanent Employment: the Spanish Case

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Author Info
Maia Güell
Barbara Petrongolo
Abstract

This paper studies the duration pattern of fixed-term contracts and the determinants of the transformation of these into permanent ones. To address this issue we estimate a duration model for temporary employment, with competing risks of flowing into permanent employment versus non-employment, and flexible duration dependence. We find that the shape of the baseline hazard is suggestive of two possible uses of temporary contracts by employers. Spikes at durations around one year support the idea that fixed-term contracts are used as a screening device instrument: successful workers obtain a permanent renewal much before the legal limit of their contracts. There is also evidence of a much pronounced spike at three years of duration, coinciding with the maximum duration of fixed-term contracts. This suggests that some employers only opt for permanent hirings when there is no other way to retain the worker. In other words, fixed-term contracts just provide a cheaper option for adjusting their employment level.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Centre for Economic Performance, LSE in its series CEP Discussion Papers with number dp0438.

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Date of creation: Jan 2000
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Handle: RePEc:cep:cepdps:dp0438

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Keywords: permanent contract; temporary contracts; duration model;

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  1. Adriana Kugler & Juan F. Jimeno & Virginia Hernanz, 2002. "Employment Consequences of Restrictive Permanent Contracts: Evidence from Spanish Labor Market Reforms," Economics Working Papers 651, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Maia Guell, 2000. "Fixed-term Contracts and Unemployment: an Efficiency Wage Analysis," Working Papers 812, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
  3. César Alonso-Borrego & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & José E. Galdón-Sánchez, 2004. "Evaluating Labor Market Reforms: A General Equilibrium Approach," Economics Working Papers we042307, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  4. M. Diaz & Rosario Sanchez, 2008. "Firm size and productivity in Spain: a stochastic frontier analysis," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 315-323, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  5. Olivier Blanchard & Augustin Landier, 2001. "The Perverse Effects of Partial Labor Market Reform: Fixed Duration Contracts in France," NBER Working Papers 8219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Güell, Maia, 2002. "Fixed-Term Contracts and the Duration Distribution of Unemployment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3264, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  7. César Rodríguez-Gutiérrez, 2006. "An explanation of the changes in the proportion of temporary workers in Spain," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 38(1), pages 47-62, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. O Blanchard & A Landier, 2002. "The Perverse Effects of Partial Labour Market Reform: fixed--Term Contracts in France," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 112(480), pages F214-F244, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. J.I. García-Pérez & Fernando Muñoz-Bullón, 2003. "Are Temporary Help Agencies Changing Mobility Patterns In The Spanish Labour Market?," Business Economics Working Papers wb035513, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Economía de la Empresa. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Dolado, Juan J. & Garcia-Serrano, Carlos & Jimeno, Juan Francisco, 2001. "Drawing Lessons From the Boom of Temporary Jobs in Spain," CEPR Discussion Papers 2884, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. repec:fth:prinin:443 is not listed on IDEAS
  12. José Ignacio García Pérez & Fernando Múñoz Bullón, 2001. "The Nineties in Spain: so much Flexibility in the Labor Market?," Economic Working Papers at Centro de Estudios Andaluces E2001/01, Centro de Estudios Andaluces. [Downloadable!]
  13. repec:fth:prinin:433 is not listed on IDEAS
  14. Maia Guell, 2000. "The effects of fixed-term contracts on the duration distribution of unemployment: the Spanish case," Working Papers 822, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Industrial Relations Section.. [Downloadable!]
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