IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/bie/wpaper/657.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level

Author

Listed:
  • Ferrari, Giorgio

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Schuhmann, Patrick

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

  • Zhu, Shihao

    (Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University)

Abstract

This paper proposes and solves an optimal dividend problem in which a two-state regime- switching environment affects the dynamics of the company’s cash surplus and, as a novel feature, also the bankruptcy level. The aim is to maximize the total expected profits from dividends until bankruptcy. The company’s optimal dividend payout is therefore influenced by four factors simul- taneously: Brownian fluctuations in the cash surplus, as well as regime changes in drift, volatility and bankruptcy levels. In particular, the average profitability can assume different signs in the two regimes. We find a rich structure of the optimal strategy, which, depending on the interaction of the model’s parameters, is either of *barrier-type* or of *liquidation-barrier type*. Furthermore, we provide explicit expressions of the optimal policies and value functions. Finally, we complement our theoret- ical results by a detailed numerical study, where also a thorough analysis of the sensitivities of the optimal dividend policy with respect to the problem’s parameters is performed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 657, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    • Handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:657
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://pub.uni-bielefeld.de/download/2959047/2959048
    File Function: First Version, 2021
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shai Bernstein & Emanuele Colonnelli & Benjamin Iverson, 2019. "Asset Allocation in Bankruptcy," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 74(1), pages 5-53, February.
    2. Jiaqin Wei & Hailiang Yang & Rongming Wang, 2010. "Classical and Impulse Control for the Optimization of Dividend and Proportional Reinsurance Policies with Regime Switching," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 358-377, November.
    3. Brinker, Leonie Violetta & Eisenberg, Julia, 2021. "Dividend optimisation: A behaviouristic approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 202-224.
    4. Akyildirim, Erdinç & Güney, I. Ethem & Rochet, Jean-Charles & Soner, H. Mete, 2014. "Optimal dividend policy with random interest rates," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 93-101.
    5. A. Max Reppen & Jean‐Charles Rochet & H. Mete Soner, 2020. "Optimal dividend policies with random profitability," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(1), pages 228-259, January.
    6. Hamilton, James D, 1989. "A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 357-384, March.
    7. Zhu, Jinxia & Chen, Feng, 2013. "Dividend optimization for regime-switching general diffusions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 439-456.
    8. Zhu, Jinxia & Yang, Hailiang, 2016. "Optimal capital injection and dividend distribution for growth restricted diffusion models with bankruptcy," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 259-271.
    9. Li, Xin & Liu, Haibo & Tang, Qihe & Zhu, Jinxia, 2020. "Liquidation risk in insurance under contemporary regulatory frameworks," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 36-49.
    10. Sotomayor, Luz R. & Cadenillas, Abel, 2011. "Classical and singular stochastic control for the optimal dividend policy when there is regime switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(3), pages 344-354, May.
    11. Benjamin Avanzi, 2009. "Strategies for Dividend Distribution: A Review," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 217-251.
    12. Hans Gerber & Hailiang Yang, 2007. "Absolute Ruin Probabilities in a Jump Diffusion Risk Model with Investment," North American Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 11(3), pages 159-169.
    13. Antill, Samuel & Grenadier, Steven R., 2019. "Optimal capital structure and bankruptcy choice: Dynamic bargaining versus liquidation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 198-224.
    14. Wenyuan Wang & Xiang Yu & Xiaowen Zhou, 2021. "On optimality of barrier dividend control under endogenous regime switching with application to Chapter 11 bankruptcy," Papers 2108.01800, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    15. Vierkötter, Matthias & Schmidli, Hanspeter, 2017. "On optimal dividends with exponential and linear penalty payments," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 265-270.
    16. Luo, Shangzhen & Taksar, Michael, 2011. "On absolute ruin minimization under a diffusion approximation model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 123-133, January.
    17. Zhengjun Jiang & Martijn Pistorius, 2012. "Optimal dividend distribution under Markov regime switching," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 449-476, July.
    18. Ronnie Loeffen & Irmina Czarna & Zbigniew Palmowski, 2011. "Parisian ruin probability for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy processes," Papers 1102.4055, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2013.
    19. Dassios, Angelos & Wu, Shanle, 2008. "Parisian ruin with exponential claims," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 32033, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann & Shihao Zhu, 2021. "Optimal Dividends under Markov-Modulated Bankruptcy Level," Papers 2111.03724, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2022.
    2. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick & Zhu, Shihao, 2022. "Optimal dividends under Markov-modulated bankruptcy level," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 146-172.
    3. Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke & Michaela Szölgyenyi, 2020. "A Deep Neural Network Algorithm for Semilinear Elliptic PDEs with Applications in Insurance Mathematics," Risks, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, December.
    4. Jiang, Zhengjun, 2019. "Optimal dividend policy when risk reserves follow a jump–diffusion process with a completely monotone jump density under Markov-regime switching," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 1-7.
    5. Szölgyenyi Michaela, 2015. "Dividend maximization in a hidden Markov switching model," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 32(3-4), pages 143-158, December.
    6. Brinker, Leonie Violetta & Eisenberg, Julia, 2021. "Dividend optimisation: A behaviouristic approach," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 202-224.
    7. Giorgio Ferrari & Patrick Schuhmann, 2018. "An Optimal Dividend Problem with Capital Injections over a Finite Horizon," Papers 1804.04870, arXiv.org, revised May 2019.
    8. Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke & Michaela Szolgyenyi, 2020. "A deep neural network algorithm for semilinear elliptic PDEs with applications in insurance mathematics," Papers 2010.15757, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2020.
    9. Michaela Szolgyenyi, 2016. "Dividend maximization in a hidden Markov switching model," Papers 1602.04656, arXiv.org.
    10. Elena Bandini & Tiziano De Angelis & Giorgio Ferrari & Fausto Gozzi, 2022. "Optimal dividend payout under stochastic discounting," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 627-677, April.
    11. Ferrari, Giorgio & Schuhmann, Patrick, 2018. "An Optimal Dividend Problem with Capital Injections over a Finite Horizon," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 595, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    12. Julia Eisenberg & Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke, 2021. "Two Approaches for a Dividend Maximization Problem under an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Interest Rate," Papers 2108.00234, arXiv.org.
    13. Tiziano De Angelis, 2018. "Optimal dividends with partial information and stopping of a degenerate reflecting diffusion," Papers 1805.12035, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2019.
    14. Ferrari, Giorgio & Yang, Shuzhen, 2016. "On an optimal extraction problem with regime switching," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 562, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
    15. Gunther Leobacher & Michaela Szolgyenyi & Stefan Thonhauser, 2016. "Bayesian Dividend Optimization and Finite Time Ruin Probabilities," Papers 1602.04660, arXiv.org.
    16. Wong, Jeff T.Y. & Cheung, Eric C.K., 2015. "On the time value of Parisian ruin in (dual) renewal risk processes with exponential jumps," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 280-290.
    17. Esther Frostig & Adva Keren–Pinhasik, 2017. "Parisian ruin in the dual model with applications to the G/M/1 queue," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 86(3), pages 261-275, August.
    18. Julia Eisenberg & Stefan Kremsner & Alexander Steinicke, 2021. "Two Approaches for a Dividend Maximization Problem under an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Interest Rate," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(18), pages 1-20, September.
    19. Zhu, Jinxia & Chen, Feng, 2013. "Dividend optimization for regime-switching general diffusions," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 439-456.
    20. Linlin Tian & Lihua Bai & Junyi Guo, 2020. "Optimal Singular Dividend Problem Under the Sparre Andersen Model," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 184(2), pages 603-626, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Optimal dividend policy; Regime-switching; Regime-dependent bankruptcy levels; HJB equation; Singular stochastic control;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bie:wpaper:657. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Bettina Weingarten (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/imbiede.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.