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The relationship between public and private saving in Spain: does Ricardian equivalence hold?

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Author Info
Francisco de Castro () (Banco de España)
José Luis Fernández () (Banco de España)

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Abstract

This paper aims to test the validity of the Ricardian proposition for the Spanish economy from three different approaches: a) by testing its theoretical implications on the stability of national saving and the relationship between fiscal and current account balances, b) by carrying a number of tests on different structural consumption equations and, c) by testing this hypothesis in consumption functions stemming from the Euler equations derived from a consumer’s maximization problem. Our results lean toward rejection of the Ricardian proposition, although some degree of substitution between public and private saving is detected. In terms of policy implications, these results would suggest that there is some room for fiscal policy to exert its countercyclical role in the case of Spain. However, the effectiveness of such a policy might be limited in a context of rising debt ratios that trigger sustainability concerns and make consumers increasingly Ricardian.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/09/Fic/dt0923e.pdf
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File Function: First version, October 2009
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Banco de España in its series Banco de España Working Papers with number 0923.

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Length: 37 pages
Date of creation: Oct 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:0923

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Related research
Keywords: Ricardian equivalence; debt neutrality; saving; fiscal policy;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
H30 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - General

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This page was last updated on 2009-12-3.


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