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Eastern and Southern Africa Monetary Integration: A Structural Vector Autoregression Analysis

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Author Info
Steven K. Buigut () (Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University)
Neven T. Valev () (Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University)
Abstract

This paper uses VAR techniques to investigate the potential for forming monetary unions in Eastern and Southern Africa. All countries in the sample are members of various regional economic organizations. Some of the organizations have a monetary union as an immediate objective whereas others consider it as a possibility in the more distant future. Our objective is to sort out which countries are suitable candidates for a monetary union based on the synchronicity of demand and supply disturbances. Although economic shocks are not highly correlated across the entire region, we tentatively identify three sub regional clusters of countries that may benefit from a currency union.

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Paper provided by International Studies Program, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University in its series International Studies Program Working Paper Series, at AYSPS, GSU with number paper0504.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2005
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Handle: RePEc:ays:ispwps:paper0504

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Keywords: Eastern and Southern Africa Monetary Integration: Structural Vector Analysis

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