This paper investigates whether the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) has had any measurable impact on Alabama pulpwood production since 1993. The method used is to establish a time series model up to the beginning of NAFTA and examine whether there has been a discernable shift since. The time series model is estimated with annual production data from 1953 on pulpwood and its categories softwood and hardwood. Pulpwood has a long history of data at the state level and is a major forest product in the state. An implicit theoretical assumption is that supply has increased over the period at a steady pace. Beyond claims of import damage, an underlying policy issue is the expansion of free trade to include all of the Americas in negotiations toward the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA). This paper also contributes to the empirical literature on the effects of free trade agreements.
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