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The Information Content of Analysts' Net Asset Value Estimates: The Case of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)

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  • Ryan Chacon
  • Dan French
  • Kuntara Pukthuanthong

Abstract

In this study, we examine the release of analysts’ net asset value estimates of firms and ask whether they transmit new information to security markets. We find that net asset value estimates do contain new information as measured both by abnormal returns and by abnormal share turnover. Our findings remain significant after controlling for concurrent analyst FFO forecasts, buy/sell recommendations, and price targets. Consistent with efficient information transmission, the information is absorbed quickly and permanently by market participants. Analysts of most companies seldom release definite net asset value estimates. The exception is real estate investment trusts (REITs), whose analysts regularly issue estimates of net asset values (NAV) based on the value of their underlying real estate portfolio. We are the first to our knowledge to examine whether analyst estimates of REIT NAVs transmit new information to securities markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Ryan Chacon & Dan French & Kuntara Pukthuanthong, 2018. "The Information Content of Analysts' Net Asset Value Estimates: The Case of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)," ERES eres2018_82, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    • Handle: RePEc:arz:wpaper:eres2018_82
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Analysts; Information Content; REITs; Valuation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location

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    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

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