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"Stiff" Field Theory of Interest Rates and Psychological Future Time

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  • Belal Baaquie

    (Singapore)

  • Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

    (Science & Finance/CFM)

Abstract

The simplest field theory description of the multivariate statistics of forward rate variations over time and maturities, involves a quadratic action containing a gradient squared rigidity term. However, this choice leads to a spurious kink (infinite curvature) of the normalized correlation function for coinciding maturities. Motivated by empirical results, we consider an extended action that contains a squared Laplacian term, which describes the bending stiffness of the FRC. With the extra ingredient of a `psychological' future time, describing how the perceived time between events depends on the time in the future, our theory accounts extremely well for the phenomenology of interest rate dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Belal Baaquie & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2004. ""Stiff" Field Theory of Interest Rates and Psychological Future Time," Papers cond-mat/0403713, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:cond-mat/0403713
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew Matacz & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 1999. "An empirical investigation of the forward interest rate term structure," Science & Finance (CFM) working paper archive 500047, Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management.
    2. Santa-Clara, Pedro & Sornette, Didier, 2001. "The Dynamics of the Forward Interest Rate Curve with Stochastic String Shocks," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 14(1), pages 149-185.
    3. Belal E. Baaquie & Marakani Srikant, 2002. "Comparison of Field Theory Models of Interest Rates with Market Data," Papers cond-mat/0208528, arXiv.org.
    4. David Heath & Robert Jarrow & Andrew Morton, 2008. "Bond Pricing And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates: A New Methodology For Contingent Claims Valuation," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Financial Derivatives Pricing Selected Works of Robert Jarrow, chapter 13, pages 277-305, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Andrew Matacz & Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, 2000. "An Empirical Investigation Of The Forward Interest Rate Term Structure," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 3(04), pages 703-729.
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    Cited by:

    1. Belal Ehsan Baaquie & Muhammad Mahmudul Karim, 2023. "Pricing risky corporate bonds: An empirical study," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(1), pages 90-121, January.

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