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A model-free approach to continuous-time finance

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  • Henry Chiu
  • Rama Cont

Abstract

We present a non-probabilistic, pathwise approach to continuous-time finance based on causal functional calculus. We introduce a definition of self-financing, free from any integration concept and show that the value of a self-financing portfolio is a pathwise integral (every self-financing strategy is a gradient) and that generic domain of functional calculus is inherently arbitrage-free. We then consider the problem of hedging a path-dependent payoff across a generic set of scenarios. We apply the transition principle of Isaacs in differential games and obtain a verification theorem for the optimal solution, which is characterised by a fully non-linear path-dependent equation. For the Asian option, we obtain explicit solution.

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  • Henry Chiu & Rama Cont, 2022. "A model-free approach to continuous-time finance," Papers 2211.15531, arXiv.org.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2211.15531
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniel Bartl & Michael Kupper & David J. Promel & Ludovic Tangpi, 2017. "Duality for pathwise superhedging in continuous time," Papers 1705.02933, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2019.
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    6. Hans Follmer & Alexander Schied, 2013. "Probabilistic aspects of finance," Papers 1309.7759, arXiv.org.
    7. Daniel Bartl & Michael Kupper & David J. Prömel & Ludovic Tangpi, 2019. "Duality for pathwise superhedging in continuous time," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 697-728, July.
    8. T. J. Lyons, 1995. "Uncertain volatility and the risk-free synthesis of derivatives," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 117-133.
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrew L. Allan & Christa Cuchiero & Chong Liu & David J. Prömel, 2023. "Model‐free portfolio theory: A rough path approach," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 33(3), pages 709-765, July.

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