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Deep Reinforcement Learning for Equal Risk Pricing and Hedging under Dynamic Expectile Risk Measures

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  • Saeed Marzban
  • Erick Delage
  • Jonathan Yumeng Li

Abstract

Recently equal risk pricing, a framework for fair derivative pricing, was extended to consider dynamic risk measures. However, all current implementations either employ a static risk measure that violates time consistency, or are based on traditional dynamic programming solution schemes that are impracticable in problems with a large number of underlying assets (due to the curse of dimensionality) or with incomplete asset dynamics information. In this paper, we extend for the first time a famous off-policy deterministic actor-critic deep reinforcement learning (ACRL) algorithm to the problem of solving a risk averse Markov decision process that models risk using a time consistent recursive expectile risk measure. This new ACRL algorithm allows us to identify high quality time consistent hedging policies (and equal risk prices) for options, such as basket options, that cannot be handled using traditional methods, or in context where only historical trajectories of the underlying assets are available. Our numerical experiments, which involve both a simple vanilla option and a more exotic basket option, confirm that the new ACRL algorithm can produce 1) in simple environments, nearly optimal hedging policies, and highly accurate prices, simultaneously for a range of maturities 2) in complex environments, good quality policies and prices using reasonable amount of computing resources; and 3) overall, hedging strategies that actually outperform the strategies produced using static risk measures when the risk is evaluated at later points of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Saeed Marzban & Erick Delage & Jonathan Yumeng Li, 2021. "Deep Reinforcement Learning for Equal Risk Pricing and Hedging under Dynamic Expectile Risk Measures," Papers 2109.04001, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2109.04001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Saeed Marzban & Erick Delage & Jonathan Yumeng Li, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing and Hedging of Financial Derivatives with Convex Risk Measures," Papers 2002.02876, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2020.
    2. James Ming Chen, 2018. "On Exactitude in Financial Regulation: Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and Expectiles," Risks, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-28, June.
    3. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2021. "Deep Equal Risk Pricing of Financial Derivatives with Multiple Hedging Instruments," Papers 2102.12694, arXiv.org.
    4. Fabio Bellini & Elena Di Bernardino, 2017. "Risk management with expectiles," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(6), pages 487-506, May.
    5. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    6. Alexandre Carbonneau & Frédéric Godin, 2021. "Equal risk pricing of derivatives with deep hedging," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(4), pages 593-608, April.
    7. Guo, Ivan & Zhu, Song-Ping, 2017. "Equal risk pricing under convex trading constraints," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 136-151.
    8. Alexandre Carbonneau & Fr'ed'eric Godin, 2020. "Equal Risk Pricing of Derivatives with Deep Hedging," Papers 2002.08492, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2020.
    9. Fabio Bellini & Valeria Bignozzi, 2015. "On elicitable risk measures," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 725-733, May.
    10. Rudloff, Birgit & Street, Alexandre & Valladão, Davi M., 2014. "Time consistency and risk averse dynamic decision models: Definition, interpretation and practical consequences," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 234(3), pages 743-750.
    11. Volodymyr Mnih & Koray Kavukcuoglu & David Silver & Andrei A. Rusu & Joel Veness & Marc G. Bellemare & Alex Graves & Martin Riedmiller & Andreas K. Fidjeland & Georg Ostrovski & Stig Petersen & Charle, 2015. "Human-level control through deep reinforcement learning," Nature, Nature, vol. 518(7540), pages 529-533, February.
    12. Dimitris Bertsimas & Leonid Kogan & Andrew W. Lo, 2001. "Hedging Derivative Securities and Incomplete Markets: An (epsilon)-Arbitrage Approach," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(3), pages 372-397, June.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ziheng Chen, 2022. "RLOP: RL Methods in Option Pricing from a Mathematical Perspective," Papers 2205.05600, arXiv.org.

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