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Voting patterns in 2016: Exploration using multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) on pre-election polls

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  • Rob Trangucci
  • Imad Ali
  • Andrew Gelman
  • Doug Rivers

Abstract

We analyzed 2012 and 2016 YouGov pre-election polls in order to understand how different population groups voted in the 2012 and 2016 elections. We broke the data down by demographics and state. We display our findings with a series of graphs and maps. The R code associated with this project is available at https://github.com/rtrangucci/mrp_2016_election/.

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  • Rob Trangucci & Imad Ali & Andrew Gelman & Doug Rivers, 2018. "Voting patterns in 2016: Exploration using multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) on pre-election polls," Papers 1802.00842, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2018.
    • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1802.00842
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yair Ghitza & Andrew Gelman, 2013. "Deep Interactions with MRP: Election Turnout and Voting Patterns Among Small Electoral Subgroups," American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 57(3), pages 762-776, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hang Keun Ryu & Daniel J. Slottje, 2020. "Does Political Dominance Impact Economic Inequality?," Advances in Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 121-149, March.
    2. Hang Keun Ryu & Daniel J. Slottje, 2020. "Does Political Dominance Impact Economic Inequality?," International Association of Decision Sciences, Asia University, Taiwan, vol. 24(1), pages 121-149, March.

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