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Exponentially concave functions and high dimensional stochastic portfolio theory

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  • Soumik Pal

Abstract

We consider the following problem in stochastic portfolio theory. Are there portfolios that are relative arbitrages with respect to the market portfolio over very short periods of time under realistic assumptions? We answer a slightly relaxed question affirmative in the following high dimensional sense, where dimension refers to the number of stocks being traded. Very roughly, suppose that for every dimension we have a continuous semimartingale market such that (i) the vector of market weights in decreasing order has a stationary regularly varying tail with an index between $-1$ and $-1/2$ and (ii) zero is not a limit point of the relative volatilities of the stocks. Then, given a probability $\eta 0$, and an arbitrarily high positive amount $M$, for all high enough dimensions, it is possible to construct a functionally generated portfolio such that, with probability at least $\eta$, its relative value with respect to the market at time $\delta$ is at least $M$, and never goes below $(1-\epsilon)$ during $[0, \delta]$. There are two phase transitions; if the index of the tail is less than $-1$ or larger than $-1/2$. The construction uses properties of regular variation, high-dimensional convex geometry and concentration of measure under Dirichlet distributions. We crucially use the notion of $(K,N)$ convex functions introduced by Erbar, Kuwada, Sturm in the context of curvature-dimension conditions and Bochner's inequalities.

Suggested Citation

  • Soumik Pal, 2016. "Exponentially concave functions and high dimensional stochastic portfolio theory," Papers 1603.01865, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1603.01865
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Adrian Banner & Daniel Fernholz, 2008. "Short-term relative arbitrage in volatility-stabilized markets," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 4(4), pages 445-454, October.
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    3. Robert Fernholz & Ioannis Karatzas & Constantinos Kardaras, 2005. "Diversity and relative arbitrage in equity markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 9(1), pages 1-27, January.
    4. Xavier Gabaix, 2009. "Power Laws in Economics and Finance," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 1(1), pages 255-294, May.
    5. Soumik Pal & Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, 2014. "The geometry of relative arbitrage," Papers 1402.3720, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2015.
    6. Y.M. Kabanov & D.O. Kramkov, 1998. "Asymptotic arbitrage in large financial markets," Finance and Stochastics, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 143-172.
    7. Robert Fernholz, 2015. "An example of short-term relative arbitrage," Papers 1510.02292, arXiv.org.
    8. Barthe, F. & Wolff, P., 2009. "Remarks on non-interacting conservative spin systems: The case of gamma distributions," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 119(8), pages 2711-2723, August.
    9. Fernholz, Robert, 1999. "On the diversity of equity markets," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 393-417, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Soumik Pal & Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, 2016. "Exponentially concave functions and a new information geometry," Papers 1605.05819, arXiv.org, revised May 2017.
    2. Fernholz, E. Robert & Karatzas, Ioannis & Ruf, Johannes, 2018. "Volatility and arbitrage," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 75234, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    3. E. Robert Fernholz & Ioannis Karatzas & Johannes Ruf, 2016. "Volatility and Arbitrage," Papers 1608.06121, arXiv.org.
    4. Ting-Kam Leonard Wong, 2017. "On portfolios generated by optimal transport," Papers 1709.03169, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2017.
    5. Soumik Pal, 2017. "Embedding optimal transports in statistical manifolds," Indian Journal of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Springer, vol. 48(4), pages 541-550, December.

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