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Financial factor influence on scaling and memory of trading volume in stock market

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  • Wei Li
  • Fengzhong Wang
  • Shlomo Havlin
  • H. Eugene Stanley

Abstract

We study the daily trading volume volatility of 17,197 stocks in the U.S. stock markets during the period 1989--2008 and analyze the time return intervals $\tau$ between volume volatilities above a given threshold q. For different thresholds q, the probability density function P_q(\tau) scales with mean interval as P_q(\tau)= ^{-1}f(\tau/ ) and the tails of the scaling function can be well approximated by a power-law f(x)~x^{-\gamma}. We also study the relation between the form of the distribution function P_q(\tau) and several financial factors: stock lifetime, market capitalization, volume, and trading value. We find a systematic tendency of P_q(\tau) associated with these factors, suggesting a multi-scaling feature in the volume return intervals. We analyze the conditional probability P_q(\tau|\tau_0) for $\tau$ following a certain interval \tau_0, and find that P_q(\tau|\tau_0) depends on \tau_0 such that immediately following a short/long return interval a second short/long return interval tends to occur. We also find indications that there is a long-term correlation in the daily volume volatility. We compare our results to those found earlier for price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Li & Fengzhong Wang & Shlomo Havlin & H. Eugene Stanley, 2011. "Financial factor influence on scaling and memory of trading volume in stock market," Papers 1106.1415, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:1106.1415
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Gang-Jin Wang & Askery Canabarro & Boris Podobnik & Chi Xie & H. Eugene Stanley & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2018. "Short term prediction of extreme returns based on the recurrence interval analysis," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 353-370, March.
    2. Zhou, Qing & Zhang, Xili, 2020. "Pricing equity warrants in Merton jump–diffusion model with credit risk," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 557(C).
    3. Ouyang, F.Y. & Zheng, B. & Jiang, X.F., 2014. "Spatial and temporal structures of four financial markets in Greater China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 402(C), pages 236-244.
    4. Liu, Chenggong & Shang, Pengjian & Feng, Guochen, 2017. "The high order dispersion analysis based on first-passage-time probability in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 1-9.
    5. T. T. Chen & B. Zheng & Y. Li & X. F. Jiang, 2017. "New approaches in agent-based modeling of complex financial systems," Papers 1703.06840, arXiv.org.
    6. Xiao, Weilin & Zhang, Weiguo & Zhang, Xili & Chen, Xiaoyan, 2014. "The valuation of equity warrants under the fractional Vasicek process of the short-term interest rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 320-337.
    7. Zhi-Qiang Jiang & Askery Canabarro & Boris Podobnik & H. Eugene Stanley & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2016. "Early warning of large volatilities based on recurrence interval analysis in Chinese stock markets," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(11), pages 1713-1724, November.
    8. Xie, Wen-Jie & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2014. "Extreme value statistics and recurrence intervals of NYMEX energy futures volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 8-17.
    9. Li, Wei-Zhen & Zhai, Jin-Rui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Wang, Gang-Jin & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Predicting tail events in a RIA-EVT-Copula framework," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 600(C).
    10. Fang, Wen & Tian, Shaolin & Wang, Jun, 2018. "Multiscale fluctuations and complexity synchronization of Bitcoin in China and US markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 109-120.
    11. F. Y. Ouyang & B. Zheng & X. F. Jiang, 2014. "Spatial and temporal structures of four financial markets in Greater China," Papers 1402.1046, arXiv.org.
    12. Zhang, Xili & Xiao, Weilin, 2017. "Arbitrage with fractional Gaussian processes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 620-628.
    13. Delignières, Didier & Marmelat, Vivien, 2014. "Strong anticipation and long-range cross-correlation: Application of detrended cross-correlation analysis to human behavioral data," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 47-60.
    14. Miśkiewicz, Janusz, 2013. "Power law classification scheme of time series correlations. On the example of G20 group," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(9), pages 2150-2162.
    15. Michelle B Graczyk & Sílvio M Duarte Queirós, 2017. "Intraday seasonalities and nonstationarity of trading volume in financial markets: Collective features," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(7), pages 1-23, July.
    16. Chen, Yingyuan & Cai, Lihui & Wang, Ruofan & Song, Zhenxi & Deng, Bin & Wang, Jiang & Yu, Haitao, 2018. "DCCA cross-correlation coefficients reveals the change of both synchronization and oscillation in EEG of Alzheimer disease patients," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 171-184.
    17. Kyubin Yim & Gabjin Oh & Seunghwan Kim, 2016. "Understanding Financial Market States Using an Artificial Double Auction Market," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 11(3), pages 1-15, March.
    18. Cai, Chunhao & Cheng, Xuwen & Xiao, Weilin & Wu, Xiang, 2019. "Parameter identification for mixed fractional Brownian motions with the drift parameter," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    19. Xiao, Weilin & Zhang, Xili, 2016. "Pricing equity warrants with a promised lowest price in Merton’s jump–diffusion model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 458(C), pages 219-238.

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