We propose a mathematical framework for the study of a family of random fields--called forward performances--which arise as numerical representation of certain rational preference relations in mathematical finance. Their spatial structure corresponds to that of utility functions, while the temporal one reflects a Nisio-type semigroup property, referred to as self-generation. In the setting of semimartingale financial markets, we provide a dual formulation of self-generation in addition to the original one, and show equivalence between the two, thus giving a dual characterization of forward performances. Then we focus on random fields with an exponential structure and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for self-generation in that case. Finally, we illustrate our methods in financial markets driven by It\^o-processes, where we obtain an explicit parametrization of all exponential forward performances.
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Length: Date of creation: Sep 2008 Date of revision:
Dec 2009 Publication status: Published in Annals of Applied Probability 2009, Vol. 19, No. 6, 2176-2210 Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:0809.0739
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