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Forecasting Estimates of Poverty During the COVID-19 Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • Zachary Parolin

    (Columbia University)

  • Christoper Wimer

    (Columbia University)

Abstract

To what extent will the COVID-19 pandemic increase levels of poverty in the United States? Official estimates of poverty in the United States are presented on an annual basis and with a considerable lag. In this brief, we apply a novel method for forecasting poverty rates in the United States using the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM) framework with a goal of providing projections of poverty rates throughout the COVID-19 crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Zachary Parolin & Christoper Wimer, 2020. "Forecasting Estimates of Poverty During the COVID-19 Crisis," Poverty and Social Policy Brief 2046, Center on Poverty and Social Policy, Columbia University.
    • Handle: RePEc:aji:briefs:2046
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    Cited by:

    1. Cai, Julie Y. & Wimer, Christopher & Berger, Lonnie, 2021. "Intra-Year Employment Instability and Economic Wellbeing Among Urban Households: Mitigating Effects of the Social Safety Net," SocArXiv vxtdq, Center for Open Science.
    2. Zachary Parolin & Megan Curran & Jordan Matsudaira & Jane Waldfogel & Christoper Wimer, 2021. "Estimating Monthly Poverty Rates in the United States," Poverty and Social Policy Brief 20415, Center on Poverty and Social Policy, Columbia University.
    3. Cai, Julie Y. & Wimer, Christopher & Berger, Lawrence & Maury, Matthew, 2023. "Intra-year employment instability and economic well-being among urban households: Mitigating effects of the social safety net," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Erin Lacey King & Stephan Weiler & Eric Stewart & Kendall Stephenson, 2022. "Multi-Level Nowcasting: Estimation in a Post-COVID Landscape," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-31, August.
    5. Rachael D. Dombrowski & Bree Bode & Kathryn A. G. Knoff & James Mallare & E. Whitney G. Moore & Noel Kulik, 2021. "Nutrition Supports Deconstructed and Disrupted: An Evaluation of a Multilevel School-Based Intervention during the Time of COVID," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-16, October.
    6. Thuy D. Nguyen & Sumedha Gupta & Martin Andersen & Ana Bento & Kosali I. Simon & Coady Wing, 2020. "Impacts of State Reopening Policy on Human Mobility," NBER Working Papers 27235, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Gustavo Javier Canavire-Bacarreza & Fernando Rios-Avila, 2022. "Recovering income distribution in the presence of interval-censored data," 2022 Stata Conference 19, Stata Users Group.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    poverty; COVID-19; social policy; SPM;
    All these keywords.

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