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Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ)

Author

Listed:
  • Hafner, Christian

    (Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/ISBA, Belgium)

  • Linton, Oliver

    (obl20@cam.ac.uk)

  • Wang, Linqi

    (Université catholique de Louvain, LIDAM/LFIN, Belgium)

Abstract

We introduce a new class of semiparametric dynamic autoregressive models forthe Amihud illiquidity measure, which captures both the long-run trend in the illiquidity series with a nonparametric component and the short-run dynamics with an autoregressive component. We develop a GMM estimator based on conditional moment restrictions and an efficient semiparametric ML estimator based on an iid assumption. We derive large sample properties for both estimators. We further develop a methodology to detect the occurrence of permanent and transitory breaks in the illiquidity process. Finally, we demonstrate the model performance and its empirical relevance on two applications. First, we study the impact of stock splits on the illiquidity dynamics of the five largest US technology company stocks. Second, we investigate how the different components of the illiquidity process obtained from our model relate to the stock market risk premium using data on the S&P 500 stock market index.

Suggested Citation

  • Hafner, Christian & Linton, Oliver & Wang, Linqi, 2022. "Dynamic Autoregressive Liquidity (DArLiQ)," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2022009, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
  • Handle: RePEc:aiz:louvad:2022009
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Bachmair, K., 2023. "The Effects of the LIBOR Scandal on Volatility and Liquidity in LIBOR Futures Markets," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 2303, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonparametric ; Semiparametric ; Splits ; Structural Change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General

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