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Commercializing Smallholder Value Chains for Goats in Mozambique: A System Dynamics Approach

Author

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  • Hamza, Kanar H.
  • Rich, Karl M.
  • Baker, A. Derek
  • Hendrickx, Saskia

Abstract

Goat producers in Inhassoro follow traditional management practices that lead to low supply of low quality goats. This has negative impacts on profitability, and on market access. Traders who buy in the Inhassoro locality buy only small volumes, and buyers from external markets are unaware of potential market supply in Inhassoro. This interaction of production constraints and limited information flows in the value chain was addressed using a system dynamics model for various commercialization scenarios. Simulation results show that improving goat production and animal health practices alone without concomitant improvements in market access have negative impacts on the financial performance of producers and no impact on other value chain actors. However, interventions that both improve market access and animal health have significant positive impacts on the financial performance of all value chain actors. The model’s explicit treatment of herd dynamics contribute significantly to these conclusions, particularly the lagged production response inherent in livestock breeding systems.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamza, Kanar H. & Rich, Karl M. & Baker, A. Derek & Hendrickx, Saskia, 2014. "Commercializing Smallholder Value Chains for Goats in Mozambique: A System Dynamics Approach," 2014 International European Forum, February 17-21, 2014, Innsbruck-Igls, Austria 199342, International European Forum on System Dynamics and Innovation in Food Networks.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:iefi14:199342
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.199342
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    Cited by:

    1. Berends, Jared & Rich, Karl M. & Kaitibie, Simeon & Lyne, Michael C., 2021. "Ex-ante evaluation of interventions to upgrade pork value chains in Southern Myanmar," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    2. Alarcon, Pablo & Fèvre, Eric M. & Murungi, Maurice K. & Muinde, Patrick & Akoko, James & Dominguez-Salas, Paula & Kiambi, Stella & Ahmed, Sohel & Häsler, Barbara & Rushton, Jonathan, 2017. "Mapping of beef, sheep and goat food systems in Nairobi — A framework for policy making and the identification of structural vulnerabilities and deficiencies," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 1-17.
    3. Staal, Steven J., 2015. "Livestock Marketing and Supply Chain Management of Livestock Products," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 70(1), pages 1-22.
    4. Muflikh, Yanti Nuraeni & Smith, Carl & Aziz, Ammar Abdul, 2021. "A systematic review of the contribution of system dynamics to value chain analysis in agricultural development," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 189(C).
    5. Dizyee, Kanar & Baker, Derek & Rich, Karl M., 2017. "A quantitative value chain analysis of policy options for the beef sector in Botswana," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 13-24.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Agribusiness; Crop Production/Industries;

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