On the Relationship of Expected Supply and Demand to Futures Prices
AbstractExpectations about future economic conditions are important determinants of commodity prices. This paper presents a relatively simple model that makes futures prices for corn a function of expected production and inventories and of variables that account for demand shifts. The intent is to provide an historical, objective context for new price and quantity observations, which may help market analysts.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Cornell University, Department of Applied Economics and Management in its series Staff Papers with number 121055.
Date of creation: 24 Feb 2012
Date of revision:
expected supply; futures prices; commodity prices; Demand and Price Analysis; Risk and Uncertainty;
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- Mark, Darrell R. & Brorsen, B. Wade & Anderson, Kim B. & Small, Rebecca M., 2008. "Price Risk Management Alternatives for Farmers in the Absence of Forward Contracts with Grain Merchants," Choices, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 23(2).
- Tomek, William G,, 1979. "Estimating Demand Relations Using Futures Prices," Agricultural Economics Research, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service, issue 4.
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