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Un modelo de valla doble para datos de conteo y su aplicación en el estudio de la fecundidad en México

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  • Alfonso Miranda

    (CIDE, División de Economía)

Abstract

This paper reports a study on the socio-economic determinants of completed fertility in Mexico. An innovative Poisson Double-Hurdle count model is developed for the analysis. This methodological approach allows low and high order parities to be determined by two different data generating mechanisms, and explicitly accounts for potential endogenous switching between regimes. Unobserved heterogeneity is properly controlled. Special attention is given to study how socio-economic characteristics such as religion and ethnic group affect the likelihood of transition from low to high order parities. Findings indicate that education and Catholicism are associated with reductions in the likelihood of transition from parities lower than four to high order parities. Being an indigenous language speaker, in contrast, increases the odds of a large family. Resumen: Este artículo presenta un estudio sobre los determinantes socio-económicos de la fecundidad final en México. Para su análisis se desarrolla un innovador modelo de conteo de valla doble de Poisson. Este enfoque metodológico permite que la variable de respuesta en paridades bajas sea determinada por un mecanismo de generación de datos (MGD) distinto de aquél que gobierna la variable en altas paridades. El modelo toma explícitamente en cuenta la posibilidad de cambio endógeno entre ambos MGDs y controla por heterogeneidad individual no observada. Se presta especial atención al estudio de cómo características socioeconómicas tales como religión y grupo étnico afectan la probabilidad de transición de conteos bajos a altos. Los resultados indican que la educación y el catolicismo están asociados a la reducción en la probabilidad de transición de conteos menores de cuatro niños a conteos de orden superior. En contraste, hablar una lengua indígena incrementa la probabilidad de tener una familia numerosa.

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This chapter was published in:

  • Alfonso Mendoza Velázquez (ed.), 2013. "Aplicaciones en Economía y Ciencias Sociales con Stata," Stata Press books, StataCorp LP, number aecss, March.
    This item is provided by StataCorp LP in its series Stata Press book chapters with number aecss-02.

    Handle: RePEc:tsj:spchap:aecss-02

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    Web page: http://www.stata-press.com/

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    Cited by:
    1. Alfonso Miranda, 2013. "A double-hurdle count model for completed fertility data from the developing world," Mexican Stata Users' Group Meetings 2013 13, Stata Users Group.

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