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Franz Ruch

Personal Details

First Name:Franz
Middle Name:Ulrich
Last Name:Ruch
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pru194

Affiliation

(50%) World Bank Group

Washington, District of Columbia (United States)
http://www.worldbank.org/
RePEc:edi:wrldbus (more details at EDIRC)

(44%) South African Reserve Bank

Pretoria, South Africa
http://www.resbank.co.za/
RePEc:edi:rbagvza (more details at EDIRC)

(6%) Economic Research Southern Africa (ERSA)

Cape Town, South Africa
http://www.econrsa.org/
RePEc:edi:ersacza (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Ruch,Franz Ulrich & Taskin,Temel, 2022. "Demand and Supply Shocks : Evidence from Corporate Earning Calls," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9922, The World Bank.
  2. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2021. "Neutral Real Interest Rates in Inflation Targeting Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9711, The World Bank.
  3. Ergys Islamaj & Franz Ulrich Ruch & Eka Vashakmadze, 2021. "Demand and Supply Dynamics in East Asia During the COVID-19 Recession," World Bank Publications - Reports 35671, The World Bank Group.
  4. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2020. "Policy Challenges for Emerging and Developing Economies : Lessons from the Past Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9180, The World Bank.
  5. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2020. "Prospects, Risks, and Vulnerabilities in Emerging and Developing Economies : Lessons from the Past Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9181, The World Bank.
  6. Lauren Kuhn & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2019. "Reaching for the rstars estimating South Africas neutral real interest rate," Working Papers 9097, South African Reserve Bank.
  7. Byron Botha & Koketso Mano & Franz Ruch, 2019. "A Stylised Semi structural Model of the Equilibrium REER," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 9341, South African Reserve Bank.
  8. Franz Ruch, 2018. "04 Is our core rotten Franz Ruch Nov 17," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 8885, South African Reserve Bank.
  9. Byron Botha & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2018. "Shortlived supply shocks to potential growth," Working Papers 8605, South African Reserve Bank.
  10. Byron Botha & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2018. "Update to the Quarterly Projection Model," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 8879, South African Reserve Bank.
  11. Byron Botha & Shaun de Jager & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2017. "The Quarterly Projection Model of the SARB," Working Papers 8000, South African Reserve Bank.
  12. Franz Ruch & Byron Botha & Rudi Steinbach, 2017. "Output gap uncertainty February 2016," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 8889, South African Reserve Bank.
  13. Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016. "Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa," Working Papers 7068, South African Reserve Bank.
  14. Franz Ruch & Neil Rankin & Stan du Plessis, 2016. "Decomposing inflation using microprice data Stickyprice inflation," Working Papers 7354, South African Reserve Bank.
  15. Franz Ruch & Neil Rankin & Stan du Plessis, 2016. "Decomposing inflation using micropricelevel data South Africas pricing dynamics," Working Papers 7353, South African Reserve Bank.
  16. Franz Ruch & Stan du Plessis, 2015. "SecondRound Effects from Food and Energy Prices an SBVAR approach," Working Papers 7008, South African Reserve Bank.
  17. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201543, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
  18. F Ruch, 2013. "The Impact of International Spillovers on the South African Economy," Working Papers 5705, South African Reserve Bank.
  19. Mr Franz Ruch & Mr Dirk Bester, 2012. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum," Working Papers 5145, South African Reserve Bank.
  20. Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2012. "An alternative business cycle dating procedure for South Africa," Working Papers 267, Economic Research Southern Africa.
  21. Dirk Besteri & Franz Ruch, 2011. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 256, Economic Research Southern Africa.

Articles

  1. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2020. "Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(28), pages 3004-3022, June.
  2. Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2013. "An Alternative Business Cycle Dating Procedure for South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(4), pages 491-516, December.
  3. Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester, 2013. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(3), pages 307-329, September.

Citations

Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.

Working papers

  1. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2021. "Neutral Real Interest Rates in Inflation Targeting Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9711, The World Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. M. Ayhan Kose & Sergio Kurlat & Franziska Ohnsorge & Naotaka Sugawara, 2017. "A cross-country database of fiscal space," CAMA Working Papers 2017-48, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.

  2. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2020. "Prospects, Risks, and Vulnerabilities in Emerging and Developing Economies : Lessons from the Past Decade," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9181, The World Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2023. "Effect of the duration of membership in the GATT/WTO on economic growth volatility," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 448-467.
    2. Pineau, Edouard & Le, Phuong & Estran, Rémy, 2022. "Importance of ESG factors in sovereign credit ratings," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).

  3. Lauren Kuhn & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2019. "Reaching for the rstars estimating South Africas neutral real interest rate," Working Papers 9097, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "EnhancingtheQuarterlyProjectionModel," Working Papers 11044, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Ruch,Franz Ulrich, 2021. "Neutral Real Interest Rates in Inflation Targeting Emerging and Developing Economies," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9711, The World Bank.
    3. Daniel Rees & Guofeng Sun, 2021. "The natural interest rate in China," BIS Working Papers 949, Bank for International Settlements.

  4. Byron Botha & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2018. "Shortlived supply shocks to potential growth," Working Papers 8605, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Christopher Loewald & David Faulkner & Konstantin Makrelov, 2020. "Time consistency and economic growth: A case study of South African macroeconomic policy," Working Papers 842, Economic Research Southern Africa.
    2. World Bank, 2020. "China Economic Update, July 2020," World Bank Publications - Reports 34264, The World Bank Group.
    3. Eric Schaling & Kgotso Morema, 2022. "Optimalinterestrategapsforflexibleinflationtargeting," Working Papers 11037, South African Reserve Bank.
    4. Cobus Vermeulen, 2023. "The inherent uncertainties in output gap estimation a South African perspective," Working Papers 11051, South African Reserve Bank.
    5. Byron Botha & Eric Schaling, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Policy Stabilisation in South Africa," Working Papers 10225, South African Reserve Bank.

  5. Byron Botha & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2018. "Update to the Quarterly Projection Model," Occasional Bulletin of Economic Notes 8879, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Lauren Kuhn & Daan Steenkamp, 2020. "Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa," Working Papers 10211, South African Reserve Bank.

  6. Byron Botha & Shaun de Jager & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2017. "The Quarterly Projection Model of the SARB," Working Papers 8000, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Franz Ruch & Rudi Steinbach, 2018. "Shortlived supply shocks to potential growth," Working Papers 8605, South African Reserve Bank.
    2. Luchelle Soobyah & Mulalo Mamburu & Nicola Viegi, 2023. "Is South Africa falling into a fiscal dominant regime," Working Papers 11046, South African Reserve Bank.
    3. Dladla, Pholile & Malikane, Christopher, 2022. "Inflation dynamics in an emerging market: The case of South Africa," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 262-271.
    4. Monique B. Reid & Pierre L. Siklos, 2022. "How Firms and Experts View The Phillips Curve: Evidence from Individual and Aggregate Data from South Africa," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(12), pages 3355-3376, September.
    5. Lutho Mbekeni & Andrew Phiri, 2019. "Can the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) protect the purchasing power of citizens? A new look at Fisher’s hypothesis," Working Papers 1906, Department of Economics, Nelson Mandela University, revised Sep 2019.
    6. Mr. Gee Hee Hong & Rahul Anand & Yaroslav Hul, 2019. "Achieving the Bank of Japan’s Inflation Target," IMF Working Papers 2019/229, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "EnhancingtheQuarterlyProjectionModel," Working Papers 11044, South African Reserve Bank.
    8. Byron Botha & Lauren Kuhn & Daan Steenkamp, 2020. "Is the Phillips curve framework still useful for understanding inflation dynamics in South Africa," Working Papers 10211, South African Reserve Bank.
    9. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
    10. Eric Schaling & Kgotso Morema, 2022. "Optimalinterestrategapsforflexibleinflationtargeting," Working Papers 11037, South African Reserve Bank.
    11. Cobus Vermeulen, 2023. "The inherent uncertainties in output gap estimation a South African perspective," Working Papers 11051, South African Reserve Bank.
    12. Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2022. "CaninformationonthedistributionofZARreturnsbeusedtoimproveSARBsZARforecasts," Working Papers 11035, South African Reserve Bank.
    13. Byron Botha & Eric Schaling, 2020. "Commodity Prices and Policy Stabilisation in South Africa," Working Papers 10225, South African Reserve Bank.
    14. Patrick Honohan & Athanasios Orphanides, 2022. "Monetary policy in South Africa, 2007-21," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2022-29, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    15. Ekaterina Pirozhkova & Jeffrey Rakgalakane & Luchelle Soobyah & Rudi Steinbach, 2023. "Enhancing the Quarterly Projection Model," Working Papers 11048, South African Reserve Bank.

  7. Alain Kabundi & Elmarie Nel & Franz Ruch, 2016. "Nowcasting Real GDP growth in South Africa," Working Papers 7068, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Chien-jung Ting & Yi-Long Hsiao & Rui-jun Su, 2022. "Application of the Real-Time Tourism Data in Nowcasting the Service Consumption in Taiwan," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(4), pages 1-4.
    2. Tóth, Peter, 2014. "Malý dynamický faktorový model na krátkodobé prognózovanie slovenského HDP [A Small Dynamic Factor Model for the Short-Term Forecasting of Slovak GDP]," MPRA Paper 63713, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Evzen Kocenda & Karen Poghosyan, 2018. "Nowcasting real GDP growth with business tendency surveys data: A cross country analysis," KIER Working Papers 1002, Kyoto University, Institute of Economic Research.
    4. Gupta, Rangan & Ma, Jun & Risse, Marian & Wohar, Mark E., 2018. "Common business cycles and volatilities in US states and MSAs: The role of economic uncertainty," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 317-337.
    5. Chien-jung Ting & Yi-Long Hsiao, 2022. "Nowcasting the GDP in Taiwan and the Real-Time Tourism Data," Advances in Management and Applied Economics, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(3), pages 1-2.
    6. Brandyn Bok & Daniele Caratelli & Domenico Giannone & Argia M. Sbordone & Andrea Tambalotti, 2018. "Macroeconomic Nowcasting and Forecasting with Big Data," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 10(1), pages 615-643, August.
    7. Alain Kabundi & Asithandile Mbelu, 2021. "Estimating a time-varying financial conditions index for South Africa," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(4), pages 1817-1844, April.
    8. Lisa-Cheree Martin, 2019. "Machine Learning vs Traditional Forecasting Methods: An Application to South African GDP," Working Papers 12/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    9. Ashwin Madhou & Tayushma Sewak & Imad Moosa & Vikash Ramiah, 2017. "GDP nowcasting: application and constraints in a small open developing economy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(38), pages 3880-3890, August.
    10. Raffaele Mattera & Michelangelo Misuraca & Maria Spano & Germana Scepi, 2023. "Mixed frequency composite indicators for measuring public sentiment in the EU," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2357-2382, June.
    11. Byron Botha & Geordie Reid & Tim Olds & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2021. "Nowcasting South African GDP using a suite of statistical models," Working Papers 11001, South African Reserve Bank.
    12. Byron Botha & Tim Olds & Geordie Reid & Daan Steenkamp & Rossouw van Jaarsveld, 2021. "Nowcasting South African gross domestic product using a suite of statistical models," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(4), pages 526-554, December.

  8. Franz Ruch & Neil Rankin & Stan du Plessis, 2016. "Decomposing inflation using microprice data Stickyprice inflation," Working Papers 7354, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

  9. Franz Ruch & Neil Rankin & Stan du Plessis, 2016. "Decomposing inflation using micropricelevel data South Africas pricing dynamics," Working Papers 7353, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Yılmaz, Engin & Süslü, Bora, 2018. "The Determinants of Price Frequency in Turkey," MPRA Paper 86350, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.

  10. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 201543, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.

    Cited by:

    1. Byron Botha & Rulof Burger & Kevin Kotze & Neil Rankin & Daan Steenkamp, 2022. "Big data forecasting of South African inflation," School of Economics Macroeconomic Discussion Paper Series 2022-03, School of Economics, University of Cape Town.
    2. Sukono & Riza Andrian Ibrahim & Moch Panji Agung Saputra & Yuyun Hidayat & Hafizan Juahir & Igif Gimin Prihanto & Nurfadhlina Binti Abdul Halim, 2022. "Modeling Multiple-Event Catastrophe Bond Prices Involving the Trigger Event Correlation, Interest, and Inflation Rates," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(24), pages 1-18, December.

  11. F Ruch, 2013. "The Impact of International Spillovers on the South African Economy," Working Papers 5705, South African Reserve Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Elod Takáts & Abraham Vela, 2014. "International monetary policy transmission," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), The transmission of unconventional monetary policy to the emerging markets, volume 78, pages 25-44, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Fowowe, Babajide & Shuaibu, Mohammed, 2016. "Dynamic spillovers between Nigerian, South African and international equity markets," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 59-80.
    3. Alex Bara & Pierre Le Roux, 2017. "South Africa's Financial Spillover Effects on Growth and Financial Development in the Southern African Development Community," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 400-412.

  12. Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2012. "An alternative business cycle dating procedure for South Africa," Working Papers 267, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    Cited by:

    1. Binge, Laurie H. & Boshoff, Willem H., 2020. "Economic uncertainty in South Africa," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 113-131.
    2. Ferdi Botha & Gavin Keeton, 2014. "A Note on the (Continued) Ability of the Yield Curve to Forecast Economic Downturns in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 82(3), pages 468-473, September.
    3. Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan & Jooste, Charl & Ranjbar, Omid, 2016. "Characterising the South African business cycle: is GDP difference-stationary or trend-stationary in a Markov-switching setup? - Il ciclo economico del Sud Africa: il PIL è stazion ario alle differenz," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(1), pages 33-44.
    4. Greg Farrell & Esti Kemp, 2020. "Measuring the Financial Cycle in South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 88(2), pages 123-144, June.
    5. Malibongwe Cyprian Nyati & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi & Christian Kakese Tipoy, 2023. "Macroprudential and Monetary Policy Interactions and Coordination in South Africa: Evidence from Business and Financial Cycle Synchronisation," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-23, November.
    6. Martin Wichlinski & Rajendra Rajaram, 2019. "The Use of RONA/WACC as a Proxy for Investment Quality," Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, AMH International, vol. 10(6), pages 177-185.

  13. Dirk Besteri & Franz Ruch, 2011. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," Working Papers 256, Economic Research Southern Africa.

    Cited by:

    1. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar Author-Name-First Mehmet & Mampho P. Modise & Rangan Gupta, 2015. "Forecasting Core Inflation: The Case of South Africa," Working Papers 15-08, Eastern Mediterranean University, Department of Economics.
    2. Gideon Du Rand & Kevin Kotze & Stan Du Plessis, 2015. "Measuring Core Inflation in South Africa," Working Papers 503, Economic Research Southern Africa.

Articles

  1. Franz Ruch & Mehmet Balcilar & Rangan Gupta & Mampho P. Modise, 2020. "Forecasting core inflation: the case of South Africa," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(28), pages 3004-3022, June.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Adél Bosch & Franz Ruch, 2013. "An Alternative Business Cycle Dating Procedure for South Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(4), pages 491-516, December.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Franz Ruch & Dirk Bester, 2013. "Towards a Measure of Core Inflation using Singular Spectrum Analysis," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 81(3), pages 307-329, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.Sorry, no citations of articles recorded.

More information

Research fields, statistics, top rankings, if available.

Statistics

Access and download statistics for all items

Co-authorship network on CollEc

NEP Fields

NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 12 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (9) 2012-03-21 2015-06-27 2015-08-30 2016-03-29 2018-01-15 2018-01-15 2018-06-25 2018-12-24 2019-03-04. Author is listed
  2. NEP-MON: Monetary Economics (6) 2011-11-28 2015-06-27 2015-08-30 2018-01-15 2019-03-04 2022-11-07. Author is listed
  3. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (4) 2015-06-27 2015-08-30 2016-03-29 2018-01-15
  4. NEP-CBA: Central Banking (2) 2015-06-27 2015-08-30
  5. NEP-AFR: Africa (1) 2012-03-21
  6. NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2015-08-30
  7. NEP-SEA: South East Asia (1) 2011-11-28

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