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Löhne und berufliche Flexibilitäten als Determinanten des interaktiven QuBe-Arbeitsmarktmodells: ein Methodenbericht zur Basisprojektion der dritten Welle der BIBB-IAB Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen

Author

Listed:
  • Maier, Tobias
  • Zika, Gerd
  • Mönnig, Anke
  • Wolter, Marc Ingo
  • Kalinowski, Michael
  • Hänisch, Carsten
  • Helmrich, Robert
  • Schandock, Manuel
  • Neuber-Pohl, Caroline
  • Bott, Peter
  • Hummel, Markus

Abstract

Die BIBB-IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen beschreiben die Entwicklung des Arbeitskräftebedarfs - und Angebots bis zum Jahre 2030. Das Diskussionspapier beschreibt die zugrundeliegenden Daten, Methoden und Annahmen der langfristigen BIBB-IAB-Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldprojektionen (Qu-Be-Projekt). In dieser dritten Welle wird ein erhöhter zukünftiger Wanderungsgewinn infolge der europäischen Wirtschaftskrise berücksichtigt. Zudem werden erstmals empiriebasierte, dynamische Austauschprozesse von Arbeitsangebot und -bedarf nach Qualifikationen und Berufen modelliert. So werden auf der Bedarfsseite das berufsspezifisch zur Verfügung stehende Arbeitskräfteangebot in Köpfen und Stunden bei der Lohnbestimmung für die Berufe mit berücksichtigt. Auf der Angebotsseite werden die Vorteile der bisherigen beiden Angebotsmodelle BIBB-FIT und BIBB-DEMOS in einem Angebotsmodell vereint und zugleich Lohnelastizitäten der beruflichen Flexibilität geschätzt. (Autorenreferat, BIBB-Doku)

Suggested Citation

  • Maier, Tobias & Zika, Gerd & Mönnig, Anke & Wolter, Marc Ingo & Kalinowski, Michael & Hänisch, Carsten & Helmrich, Robert & Schandock, Manuel & Neuber-Pohl, Caroline & Bott, Peter & Hummel, Markus, 2014. "Löhne und berufliche Flexibilitäten als Determinanten des interaktiven QuBe-Arbeitsmarktmodells: ein Methodenbericht zur Basisprojektion der dritten Welle der BIBB-IAB Qualifikations- und Berufsfeldpr," Wissenschaftliche Diskussionspapiere, Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training (BIBB), Bonn, volume 127, number 148.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:bibbwd:148
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/236112/1/bibb-wdp148.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Clark, Damon & Fahr, René, 2001. "The Promise of Workplace Training for Non-College-Bound Youth: Theory and Evidence from German Apprenticeship," IZA Discussion Papers 378, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Frees,Edward W., 2004. "Longitudinal and Panel Data," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521828284.
    3. Bernd Fitzenberger & Astrid Kunze, 2005. "Vocational Training and Gender: Wages and Occupational Mobility among Young Workers," Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Oxford University Press and Oxford Review of Economic Policy Limited, vol. 21(3), pages 392-415, Autumn.
    4. Frees,Edward W., 2004. "Longitudinal and Panel Data," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521535380.
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    1. Tobias Maier & Anke Mönnig & Gerd Zika, 2021. "Folgen der COVID-19-Krise auf die kurz-, mittel- und langfristigen Beschäftigungs- und Entlohnungschancen nach Berufen [Consequences of the COVID-19 crisis on short-, medium- and long-term employme," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 15(2), pages 107-138, June.

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