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Regional Population Projection Models

Editor

Listed:
  • Grant I. Thrall
    (Department of Geography, University of Florida)

Author

Listed:
  • Andrei Rogers

    (University of Colorado, Boulder)

Abstract

Public and private institutions, organizations, and firms require information on potential demographic futures. Public organizations must anticipate future population needs and thereby judge the need for efforts to alter current population processes and trends. Private firms maximize possible profits by adjusting product lines and shifting distribution networks using information obtained from regional demographic projections. This book demonstrates how researchers can analyze the evolution of multiple regional populations, each interconnected by migration flows. The author adopts a geographical perspective by considering how fertility, mortality, and migration combine to determine the growth, age composition, and spatial distribution of a national multiregional population. This monograph should be of use to those responsible for carrying out regional population projections in public and private organizations such as national, state, and local governments, business firms, foundations, universities, labor unions, social service organizations, and various public interest groups. SCIENTIFIC GEOGRAPHY SERIES, Grant Ian Thrall, editor.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrei Rogers, 1985. "Regional Population Projection Models," Wholbk, Regional Research Institute, West Virginia University, number 09 edited by Grant I. Thrall, November-.
    • Handle: RePEc:rri:wholbk:09
    as

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    File URL: https://researchrepository.wvu.edu/rri-web-book/12/
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Gianni Corsetti & Marco Marsili, 2013. "Previsioni stocastiche della popolazione nell’ottica di un Istituto Nazionale di Statistica," Rivista di statistica ufficiale, ISTAT - Italian National Institute of Statistics - (Rome, ITALY), vol. 15(2-3), pages 5-29.
    2. Jan Valentin Vogt, 2017. "Alternating Migration Flows and their Age-Structure Effects on the Long-Term Sustainability of the German Statutory Pension Insurance," EcoMod2017 10369, EcoMod.
    3. Monica P. Escaleras & Charles A. Register, 2008. "Mitigating Natural Disasters through Collective Action: The Effectiveness of Tsunami Early Warnings," Southern Economic Journal, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 74(4), pages 1017-1034, April.
    4. Lykke E. Andersen, 2003. "Proyecciones de Población y Pobreza para Nicaragua 1995 - 2015," Development Research Working Paper Series 04/2003, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    5. D N Rao & Karmeshu & V P Jain, 1989. "Dynamics of Urbanization: The Empirical Validation of the Replacement Hypothesis," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 16(3), pages 289-295, September.
    6. Lykke E. Andersen, 2007. "Análisis y Proyecciones de Población y Pobreza para Nicaragua 2005 - 2025," Development Research Working Paper Series 08/2007, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    7. Lykke E. Andersen, 2007. "Entradas y Salidas de la Pobreza: El Papel de los Comportamientos Reproductivos Usando Datos de Panel de Nicaragua, 1998-2001," Development Research Working Paper Series 03/2007, Institute for Advanced Development Studies.
    8. Andrei Rogers & James Raymer, 1999. "Estimating the regional migration patterns of the foreign-born population in the United States: 1950-1990," Mathematical Population Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(3), pages 181-216.
    9. Mantzouni, Irene & Somarakis, Stylianos & Moutopoulos, Dimitrios K. & Kallianiotis, Argyris & Koutsikopoulos, Constantin, 2007. "Periodic, spatially structured matrix model for the study of anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) population dynamics in N Aegean Sea (E. Mediterranean)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 208(2), pages 367-377.
    10. T Werschler & F Nault, 1996. "Projecting Interregional Migration Balances within a Multiregional Cohort—Component Framework," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 28(5), pages 769-782, May.
    11. Hal Caswell & Nora Sánchez Gassen, 2015. "The sensitivity analysis of population projections," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 33(28), pages 801-840.
    12. A Rogers, 1992. "Heterogeneity, Spatial Population Dynamics, and the Migration Rate," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 24(6), pages 775-791, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    regional science; overview; population projection;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • P25 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Socialist and Transition Economies - - - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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